25th April

[Radek]

Hallo soccer fans!

Weekend picks for you from SoccerVista.com
Have to thanks Xazar7a, Beli, rtsilva, Niksan and Ledi17!


Picks by Xazar7a:

Kapfenberg - Parndorf	1	1.45	There are few rounds till the end of the championship in Austria II Division. Kapfenberg is on the top with 5 points in front of the second A.Lustenau. They are one of the teams which are best at home. They were on good run bu recorded a loss last match but it was away. Parndorf is just under the relegation line, but against the leaders it will be hard to get something, besides they are bad away team. I go here for home win.
Clermont - Sedan	under 2.5	1.65	This two teams have still some chances to get one of the top 3 places, but it will be very hard. Their play is not very constant and i expect strong match here. The difference between them is only a point. I expect here under 2.5 goals.
Nantes - Montpellier	1	1.55	Nantes are currently second and need just the 3 points in this match and they surely will play in Ligue 1 next season. They play good at home and this will be great advantage for them. Montpellier is safe in the middle of table and have nothing to play for. I go here for home win.
Chelsea - Man united	both teams to score	1.81	With this match starts the round in the English Premiership, but this may be th end of the season for one of these teams. United are 3 points in front of Chelsea and if they win at Stamford bridge Chelsea will lose near all the chances for the title, but if they win it gets more interesting, because they will get the same points like united - 81. It will be very hard match, but both teams know how to win matches like this. This two teams has hard matches in CL in the middle of the week, and both drew. This match is domestic and all will be different. They will give all they can to win this. But i think hardly one of the teams will win, but i expect goals here, so i will go for both teams to score.
Karlsruher - Bremen	2	1.80	The Musicians hardly will get on the top but they still should fight to keep their champions league place. Karlsruher was in bad seria but win in the last match against Duisburg. They are in the middle of the table and it looks the season is over for them. Bremen are the better team here and i expect that they will get all the points here. Away win.
Birmingham - Liverpool	2	2.55	Maybe i wrote for the Birmingham's last 2-3 matches and all you know that i admire their spirit. I think they are team with spirit and i get this expression some seasons before. The problem is that they have not enough classy players. Liverpool come in Birmingham and looks like the Chineese wall. They play great and simply they will get 3 points here. Away win.

Picks by Beli:

Troyes - Boulogne	1	1.60	Troyes are realy in bad form when they need to give their best they are missing results.they are without win in last 7 games.In last game they draw away with Dijon 2-2.In last 5 games Troyes draw 3 and lost 2 games.At home Troyes won 9 draw 5 and lost 3 games.in other side Boulogne in last game lost from Dijon home 0-1.In last 5 games Boulogne won 3 and lost 2 games.In away games Boulogne won 3 draw 4 and lost 10 games.Both teams need poingst in this game.Boulogne is in bettle for surviving while Troyes need points to take 3-rd position that will bring them in first league.In first game Troyes won away 1-2.I hope they will win again and back after 7 games without win.
Lokeren - Gent	1 (AH 0:0)		Lokeren are in 14-th position with 35 points 5 more then place that will send them on second league.In other side Gent are in safety without any chance for soemthing more.Lokeren in last game in hard game couldent draw with Cercle Brugge and lost away 3-2.In last 5 games Lokeren won 1 draw 2 and lost 2 games.At home Lokeren won 4 draw 8 and lost 3 games.In other side Gent in last game took point in game with Club Brugge 0-0.In last 5 games they draw 1 and lost 4 games.In away games Gent won 4 draw 4 and lost 7 games.in first game Gent was beter home and won 4-2.In this game Lokeren need more points and i see them quite favorite in this game but for littl risk i will cover it with 0 AH.I will take i home with with 0 AH.
Amkar - Yaroslav Shinnik	1	1.75	Amkar in last game lost away from Rubin Kazan 1-0.In last 6 games Amkar won 3 draw 1 and lost 2 games.At home they won 1 and lost 1.In other side Shinnik in last game won Khimki 3-2.In 6 games in new season Shinnik this was first win.They won 1 draw 2 and lost 3 games.In away games they draw 1 and lost 2 games.Amkar are beter team then Shinnik and also home fielt will make them favorite in this game.I see home win in this game.
Zenit - Terek	1		Zenit couldent be happy with start of new season and their result.In last game they managed to draw with Saturn in Moscow after they were loosing in HT 1-0 in the end they draw 1-1.In new season in 6 games they have 4 draws 1 win and 1 lost game.In other side Terek have beter result in new seaosn in 6 games they won half of them and lost half of them they are withut draw game in new seaosn.In last game Terek won Luch Energiya 2-1.In away games Terek lost both 2 games that they played.Zenit will have hard week also they played with Bayern in UEFA Cup but i dont think that they will keep with bad results in national league i see they back after this game.Home win in this game.
Cottbus - Rostock	1	2.10	Bettle from the bottom of the table, bettle for surviving.Cottbus in last game lost deep or beter say they were trushed form Schalke 5-0.In last 5 games Cottbus won 3 and lost 2 games.At home Cottbus won 6 draw 2 and lost 7 games.In other sdie Rostock in last game lost home from Bremen 1-2.In last 5 games they won 1 and lost 4 games only win was over Karlsruher away 1-2.In away games Rostock won 2 draw 2 and lost 10 games.In first game in rostock team of Rostock won 3-2, so in this game i see Cottbus revange them and also climb in beter position in the table.Home win in this game.
Nurnberg - Bielefeld	1	1.75	Nurnberg woke up late i think.They are realy in bad position now with need to win every game.In last game Nurnberg won Wolfsburg 1-0.In last 5 games they won 2 games draw 2 and lost 1.At home Nurnberg won 4 draw 6 and lost 4 games.In toher side Bielefeld in last game won Leverkusen home.In last 5 games they won 2 draw 2 and lost 1 game.Bielefeld away games didnt bring good reslt in 14 away games Bielefeld won 1 draw 4 and lost 9 games.In first game Bielefeld won home 3-1.I think that nurnberg need more hten never those points and they can win this game.
Brescia - Treviso	1	1.65	Brescia in last game lost from Chievo 3-0.In last 5 games they won 2 draw 1 and lost 2 games.At home Brescia won 13 draw 2 and lost 3 games.In other side treviso in last game lost home from Albinoleffe 0-1.In last 5 games they won 1 draw 1 and lost 3 games.In away games Treviso is without win they draw 6 and lost 12 games.In first game Treviso won 3-0.In this game i see Brescia big favorite and they need those points and i think that they can manage to win this game.
Interblock Ljubljana - Drava Ptuj	1	1.50	Interblock Ljubljana are in grate form in new season.They lost last 2 games after 4 wins in row.In last game they lost from Celje Publikum away 2-1.In last 5 games they won 3 and lost 2 games.At home Interblock won 7 draw 4 and lost 3 games.In other side Drava Ptuj in last game won Primorje home 1-0.In last 5 games Drava won 3 and lost 2 games.In away games They won 3 draw 3 and lost 8 games.In this year in 3 prewious games Interblock won 2 while Drava 1.In last head 2 head game Interblock won away 0-2.I think that Interblock is grate favorite in this game and i see clear home win.
Valencia - Osasuna	1	1.90	Realy realy bad year for Valencia in Primera division this year.They are fighting to say in league in the finish of the season they won Spain Cup but now they need to be concentrated more in the primera.In this game both teams need points both are in bad situation.In last game Valencia was trushed in Bilbao and lost 5-1.In last 5 games Valencia is with only 1 win over real Madrid 2-3 and after that game they lost 4 games in row.At home Valencia are the worst team they took only 15 points from 16 home games.They won 4 draw 3 and lost 9 games.In other side Osasuna in last game lost from La Coruna home 0-1.In last 5 games they won 2 games and lost 3.Both won games wehre in away games with espanyol 0-1 and with Getafe 0-2.In away games Osasuna won 4 draw 3 and lost 9 games.In first game in osasuna result was draw 0-0.In this game i will not look on tradition cos form of valencia in this year is realy diferent from other years.I see Valencia on must win situation and they have realy grate team realy grate players but i realy dont know and i dont think that anybody know where is problem and in situation like this where Valencia must win i think that all will give maximum to win this game.Home win in this game for Valencia.

Picks by rtsilva:

(2008 P/L = -50,40 pts). This weekend’s bets:
Chelsea vs Man. Utd	10 pts Man. Utd	2.93	Manchester United will not miss this opportunity to finish Chelsea’s challenge for the Premier League title. Man. Utd. is the best team, and despite this is a tough game, I’m pretty confident that, at the end of the day, the winner will be Man. Utd.
Reggina vs Parma	10 pts Parma	4.00	This is the last chance saloon for Parma (against the worst team in Italy) to win away from home, and to put themselves in a safer position regarding the fight for escaping from relegation. At these odds it’s definitely an away punt.
Real Betis vs Villarreal	10 pts DRAW	3.20	Betis is in good heart at the present and will not be easy to beat them at home. Villarreal is in second position in La liga and also will not go down without a fight, so this match has a Draw written all over its face.
Bayern vs Stuttgart	5 pts Stuttgart	5.50	Bayern is 10 points clear of the second place and will play Thursday night for the UEFA Cup. I think that Stuttgart has a chance of beating them because they are more motivated (a place in the champions league is still possible) and rested. So a small speculative bet on this.
Real Madrid vs A. Bilbao	5 pts Draw	4.60	Real is practically the champion (10 pts clear of the second placed) and will not be motivated for this match, and Bilbao is in the best form of the season (last 5 games 3-1-1) so they will be a hard nut to crack. A speculative bet on the draw because Real hasn’t draw yet at home and this could be the game that they fulfill that hole.
Speculative bets that I think it’s worth a small bet because of the “blanks” in the statistics:
Udinese vs Catania	5 pts Catania	4.75	Catania still didn’t won away from home. Catania is a good team and Udinese is a little on a downward curve. Let’s see what happens.
Setubal vs Amadora	5 pts Amadora	5.00	Amadora still didn’t won away from home but they are still fighting for something, and Setubal is the other way around, ie, not motivated, they have nothing to gain.
Sporting vs Marítimo	3 pts Maritimo	7.50	Sporting still didn’t lose at home but Marítimo is a good team that traditionally makes life tough for the great teams in Portugal. A small bet please.

Picks by Niksan:

Wigan - Reading	1X	1.25	A very importang game it will be for the hosts. A win here will guarantee their survival in the EPL for the next season. However, they have very hard games till the end of the season vs Villa and Man United so getting some points here will be very important for them. They havent lose in the last 3 games whereas Reading have 3 loses in their last 3 games. Reading are still very doubtful about staying or leaveing the EPL and this game is very important for them too and will go for it with all they have but i dont expect them to get maximum points here.
Tottenham - Bolton	x2	1.90	Bookies expct the hosts to beat here. Many ppl think the same. And on paper they should be indeed the better team here. Still im confused about some facts. First of all - Tottenham are in the mid of the table and have actually nothing to worry about - they have a place in Europe, they are far from the teams fighting for a survival. Moreover, they have been some interview during the mid after which im not sure they will go with full strength for this game. Bolton on the other hand need points badly and i expect them to get some.
Deportivo La Coruna v FC Barcelona	1x	1.45	Barca had a hard game on Wednesday that in my oppinion they should have won at least by one goal. Still they didnt manage to do so and are now going to Old Traford with empty hands. After Ronaldo missed that penalty he said he will score at home for sure. The game next week will be very very difficult for Barca and considering they have chances anymore for the title they have to concentrate on the CL. I havent see starting list for this game but i expect most of the key players will be rested in order to be ready fot the clash with Man United. This will be the best chacne for struggling Depor to get some points.
Real Madrid - Atletico Bilbao	1	1.40	Well.. all my reasoning here is base on an interview i read yesterday. Real are ready for celebrations, they will make amazing fest in the capital of Spain if they manage t get the win here. They want this badly and i think they will make the neccessary to things so they can celebrate the evening after the match.

Picks by Ledi17:

Le Havre - Reims	1	1.55	Le Havre is in 1st place and Reims is in 13th place. Le Havre have 4 points difference with the 2nd place, Nantes. They have draw in their last 3 matches and have dissapointing all with those big mistakes in attack. Now the 2nd place is only 4 points and if they dont want to risk in the end of this season should win this match without problem.
Chelsea - Manchester United	under 2.5	1.60	Chelsea is in 2nd place and Manchester United is in 1st place. Manchester United have 3 points difference Chelsea and with goals +18, it should be 4 points difference. So both teams will have an important match Chelsea against Liverpool (Wednesday) and Manchester United against Barcelona (Tuesday). I expekt a match Chelsea that will be in attack from beging and Manchester United with counter-attack.
Sochaux - Lorient	under 2.5	1.55	Sochaux is in 14th place and Lorient is in 10th place. Sochaux and Lorient havent something to loose or to win in this season. Sochaux have lost in their last match against Lens. Lorient have lost in their last match againts Saint-Ettiene. I expekt this match draw and probably both teams to not score.
Clyde - Stirling Albion	1	1.50	Clyde is in 9th place and Stirling Albion in the last place, in the 10th place. Clyde or Morton (8th place) will be in Division 2 next season. Clyde have the last match and the last chance to stay in Division 1, I expekt Clyde to win from half time, and by scoring more than 2 goals in this match.
Alloa - Berwick	1	1.20	Alloa is in 4th place and Berwick is in the last place, in the 10th place. In their last 5 matches head to head Alloa have won 4 from them. Now they have the last match and maybe the last chance to play the play-off matches for the Division 1. I dont think Alloa should risk in the last match and i think they should win this match without any problems.
Hoffenheim - Carl Zeiss Jena	1	1.35	Hoffenheim is in 3rd place and Carl Zeiss Jena is in 17 place. Hoffenheim have lost in their last 2 matches. Carl Zeiss Jena should be in Region. next season. Hoffenheim have the same points with the 2nd place FC Koln. I think Hoffenheim will not risk to draw in this match, so i expekt only one result in this match, Hoffenheim to win and to change their form.

Much more prediction: http://www.soccervista.com/forum

SoccerVista betting competition - http://www.soccervista.com/competition/

Hope some of picks was usefull for you. Just remember nobody is 100% so take these prediction as inspiration and use your own brain.

You can become co-author of this newsletter if you send me your picks to castka@gmail.com with „Weekly picks“ in subject.

Conditions:

1. Some brief analyses have to be included with picks.
2. Must be betting picks for weekend.
3. Must be send till Thursday midnight.

So if you are soccer punter and want to share your opinion with other subscribes of this newsletter. (currently more than 13000 subscribes) try it. I will include your name/email/web by your needs with that picks of course.

That's all )

Nice weekend and if interested don't forget to send me your picks until Thursday midnight.

Radek