29th February

[Radek]

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Hallo soccer fans!

Weekend picks for you from SoccerVista.com

Have to thanks Xazar7a, Beli, rtsilva, hunt3r, Niksan and LEDI17!


Picks by Xazar7a:

Monchengladbach - Aue	1	1.40	Gladbach go into this match as leader of Bundesliga 2, but if slip one more time, at the end of the round it can be new leader there. They have good home record, but from the start of the this year's matches they have 2 draws and 2 losses. Aue are on 15-th place and perform good at home, but away they had teh worst record in whole Bundesliga 2 - 1w 0d 10l. Simply away something happen with this team and it lose with very big results sometimes. It's time for Gladbach to get on track and this is excellent chance. Home win here.
Wehen - Augsburg	1	2.25	From the start of the year Wehen are performing very good 3 wins and 1 loss. They play equally good at home and away. They are 8-th currently but with their 32 points are just 4 from the qualification zone. Augsburg are 10 and are 5 points behind them. Augsburg play more comfortably at home where they have only 1 loss. Away they have 2w 2d 7l. I will go here for home win, Wehen perform better at the moment.
Montpellier - Angers	under 2.50	1.50	Montpellier are very inconstant team and are currently 7-th with not big chances for something big this season. When i look at Angers i can see the same team like Montpellier, not very constant, alternating wins, draws and losses. It is interesting that both teams have 36 points. I think it will be typical match for French league 2, it will be interesting because the teams are equivalent and i will go here for under 2.5 goals.
Cambuur - Waalwijk	2	1.60	Cambuur are at the bottom of the table with 26 points. Waalwijk topping the table with 58 and have only 1 loss away. This match is excellent opportunity for Waalwijk to harden it's position in the league. Undoubtedly Waalwijk is the better team here. I will go for away win.
Volendam - Fortuna Sittard	1	1.40	Volendam are currently 3rd, 5 points after the leaders Waalwijk. Fortuna hardly will make something this year so the motivation is all at the home side. They beat the leader Waalwijk in the last round and are 18 matches unbeaten. Fortuna are currently 16th and and i think they will not be able to do something against Volendam. Home win here.
Hibs - Celtic	both teams to score	1.85	Hibs are in excellent form in last time and face real challenge at Saturday when they face Celtic, they already take a point from celtics earlier this season when they drew 1-1 away from home. Celtic are 4 points after Rangers and are in real need of points, but this match will be hard. In the last matches they didnt perform with their whole potential and got small results. This match is unpredictable in my opinion, but i think here both teams to score is good bet.
Schalke - Bayern	both teams to score	1.70	This will be the match of the round in Bundesliga 1. Both teams have important matches at the middle of the week, Schalke play second leg in CL against Porto, while Bayern will play their first match against Anderlecht away. But this two teams first will be focused in this match because ti is very important for the title. Bayern are unbeaten from 8 matches in Bundesliga 1, their last loss, and only one in Bundesliga 1, was against Stuttgart. In the last round Bayern didnt manage to win over Hamburg and get only point at home, but it was expected from me. For Schalke is important to get at least in CL spot, so they could participate there next season again. They lost from Leverkusen in the last round and now will look to perform better. I expect one hard match here, i think we will look attacking football and i expect both teams to score here.
Werder - Dortmund	1	1.65	Werder lost their last match against Frankfurt will 1-0, maybe the reason was that their playmaker Diego got a red card at 40th minute. The musicians are 4 points after Bayern, which have hard match, and Werder will look to take advantage if Bayern slip. Dortmund had match for DFB Cup and won 3-1 against Hoffenheim. From the start of the year they recorded 2 wins 1 draw and one loss. Werder play at home excellent 9 0 2 and will look to extend their record. I will go for home win here.
Fulham - Manchester united	2	1.35	Fulham is in very bad form and hardly get something from their matches. This season in all competitions they have only 4 wins. Manchester have important match in CL, but the good thing is that the match will be at home. Arsenal are only 4 points ahead and united will be very motivated to get closer to them. I go here for clear away win.
Arsenal - Aston Villa	1	1.50	It will be very hard match for Arsenal, but hey should stay on track. United are on their tail and should not slip. Villa is strong team, but Arsenal is class, but the bad thing is that they have very important match against Milan in the middle of the week. I can see here on very hard match, but with the Gunners winners here. Maybe 2-1 is good result and both teams to score too.

Picks by Beli:

Monchengladbach - Aue	1	1.40	Monchengladbach start new season bad.In 4 game in new season they are still without win.In those 4 games they have 2 draws and 2 lost games.In last game they draw away with Osnabruck 2-2.At home Monchengladbach won 5 draw 4 and lost 1.IN other side Aue in last game won Paderborn with deep result 6-0.IN 4 games in new season Aue won 2 and lost 2.They won both games home and lost away games.In away games Aue won 1 and lost 20 they score 8 and concede 28 goals.In first game Monchengladbach won 2-3 away.I think this is time when Monchegladbach is not allowed to make another mistake.I see clear home win in this game.
Guingamp - Sedan	under 2.5	1.50	Guingamp draw in last game without goals with Montpellier 0-0.Guingamp is team that dont score but also dont concede many goals.IN 25 games Guingamp score 23 and concede 24 goals.IN last 5 games Guingamp 4 played Under 2.5and 1 was Over 2.5.At home games Guingamp 10 from 12 games PLayed Under 2.5.In other side Sedan in last game lost from Nanetes home 1-2.In last 5 games Sedan 3 times played Under 2.5 and twice Over 2.5.In 13 away games Sedan 8 times played Under 2.5and 5 Over 2.5.In first game in Sedan result was 1-0.I see another Under 2.5in this game.
Cambur - RKC Waalwijk	2	1.60	Cambur is team with worst results at home games.In 14 home games Cambur won 3 draw 5 and lost 6 games.In last 5 games they draw 3 and lost 2.In last game they draw with Veendam 4-4.In other side RKC Waalwijk is team with only1 lost games away.They have 5 wins and 8 draws.In last 5 games RKC won 3 draw 1 and lost 1.In last game they lost home from Volendam 2-3.In first game those Rkc won 6-3.I see again RKC favorite to win this game and also i think that we will see again many goals i hope like first time 9 .
Fulham - Manchester Utd.	2 AH	2.00	Fulham is one of the worst team in the home games.In 14 home games they won 3 draw 5 and lost 6.In last 5 games Fulham won 1 draw 1 and lost 3.In last game Fulham lost home from West Ham 0-1.In other side Manchester Utd.In away games won 7 draw 3 and lost 3.In last 5 games Manchester Utd. won 3 draw 1 and lost 1.In last game Manchester won Newcastle 1-5.In first game Manchester Utd. won 2-0.In this game i see Manchester grate favorite and i hope they will win by more then 1 diference i willplay this game with AH -1.
Metz - Caen	2 (AH 0:0)		Metz are in the bottom of table with only 12points in 26 games and i think that chances for themare lost.In last game they lost from Lyon 2-0.In last 5 games Metz won 1 draw 1 and lost 3 games.In other side Caen have more chances to fight for staying in league they have 35 points but not stillon safe.In last 5 games Caen draw 2 and lost 3 games.In away games Caen won 2 draw 5 and lost 5 games.In firstgame Metz won away 1-2.I will put soft favorite Caen in this game but i will cover with 0 AH.
Dusseldorf - Cottbus(Am)	1	1.40	Dusseldorf have grate team.In new season they won 1 and lost 1.First they won Wuppertaler home 2-0 then lost from leader Bremen(Am) 2-0 away.At home Dusseldorf won 5 draw 3 and lost 3 games.In other side Cottbus(Am) in first game won Lubeck away 0-1 and in lastgame they draw homewith Oberhausen 0-0.In away games Cottbus won 4 draw 2 and lost 5.In first game Dusseldorf won away 0-1.I see them again grate favorite in this game they have grate financial support and good team i think they can manage to win this game easy.
Mantova - Triestina	1	1.65	Mantova in last 5 gameswon 1 draw 2 and lost 2 games.At home they won 8 draw 3 and lost 3.In last game they draw with Bari home1-1.In other side Triestina in last 5 games draw 2 and lost 3 games.In last 10 games they won 1 draw 4 andlost 5 games.In last game they lost from Pisa home 0-1.In away games Triestina won 3 draw 2 and lost 8 games.In first game Triestina won 1-0.I think Mantovas current formis beter then Triestina they have beter team and i think they can manage to win this game after 4 games without win.
Villarreal - Osasuna	1	1.60	Villarreal in last 5 games won 2 draw 2 and lost 1.In lastgame they won Bilbao away 1-2.At home Villareal last time won Valencia 3-0 in the 19.01. and in last 2 home games they draw both.At 13 home games They won 7 draw 4 and lost 2.In other side Osasuna in away games won 2 draw 1 and lost 9 games.At 5 last games They won 2 and lost 3 games.In first game Osasuna won home 3-2.I think time is Villarreal towin at home and i think they are in good way to back in good games after back inlast game with Bilbao fromloosing 1-0 they won 1-2.Home win.
Anderlecht - Genk	1	1.60	Andelecht in last game lost 1-0 away from Wargem.This lost game came after 6 games without loose.In last 5 games they won 3 draw 1 and lost 1.At home Anderlecht won 8 draw 2 and lost 1.In other side Genk in away games won 2 draw 4 and lost 5 games.In last game they lost home 0-1 from St.Truidense.In last 5 games Genk draw 2 and lost 3 games.They are without win in last 7 games.In first game those teams draw 1-1.I think Anderlecht back in good games and this is clear win for them.

Picks by rtsilva:

(Jan. P/L = +41,50 pts; Feb. P/L = -21,75 pts). Another bad week. This weekend’s bets:
Boavista vs Porto	10 pts Porto	1.95	Porto is far better than Boavista. It’s a tuff game but I’m convinced that they will win, despite of the difficulties. Good odds for a Porto win because there’s a huge difference between the teams.
Braga vs Guimarães	10 pts Braga	2.25	Braga should be in 4th place (they have the best team in Portugal, excluding the 3 big ones in Portugal). This is almost a derby with great rivalry between these 2 teams. After a moralizing draw against Benfica, Braga will surely try to end the bad sequence of results they’re in.
Huelva vs Real Madrid	10 pts Real Madrid	1.85	Also a huge difference between these two, and Real lost two games in a row, so they can not afford to lose points anymore because Barcelona is right there in the fight for the championship. Huelva is not “of the same league”, so I guess this is an easy call to make.
Sporting vs Benfica	10 pts Benfica	3.00	This is the derby of the derbies in Portugal. Sporting isn’t playing well and traditionally has always big difficulties to win against Benfica (last 3 years 2 draws and 1 defeat). Benfica is playing much better away from home (if they didn’t lose so many points at home, they would be fighting for the championship with Porto) and they could inflict the first home lose to sporting. I like the odds.
Leiria vs Setúbal	10 pts Leiria	3.00	Setúbal is a case-study. They don’t have a team to be in 5th place (last year they save themselves from relegation in the last game). Leiria is the other way around; nobody could predict such a poor championship. Setúbal is playing to many games in short time and they should be a little tired, so at odds of 3, I’m risking a Leiria victory here.

Picks by hunt3r

West Bromwich vs Plymouth	over 2.50	1.75	Some statistics: LDWDW Last 5 Games West Bromwich Home games WWDLL Last 5 Games Plymouth Away games Wba scored 67 goals and received 42 Plymouth scored 45 and received 33. West Bromich last round drop some valuable points, now are way behind and hoping to catch Stoke who is 7 points in front. Plymouth not a bad team behind Wba, only 3 points separating them I think both teams will maek a good match and the best will win, looking at current Wba form home win is not valuable and it is tricky also so i propose something else more realistic, we sill see some goals OVER 2.5
Rec De Huelva vs Real Madrid	2	1.70	diffrent teams here, Real Madrid on the first place whit 2 points more that barcelona, and Huelva at relegation zone. Last round Real made 1-1 whit betis and lost whit getafe 1-0. Barcelona has a hard match agains Athletico Madrid but still Real cant count on barca to make a mistake, Real has an important match whit Roma in a couple of days but still i think the coach cand fiind good players that might put a 0-1, 1-2 here, they must win this game is no other way 2
Fulham vs Man Utd	2	1.35	After the convincing win over Newcastle United, Alex Ferguson’s squad wants another triumph so that could reach the leading position again. Arsenal is in front with 3 points. manchester is to strong here for Fulham so even they play away they will win this one. 2
West Ham vs Chelsea	under 2.50	1.55	What else should we bet when Chelsea is playng away ? Defeat in Carling Cup has demonstrated the first signs of discord in Chelsea’s squad. his season, West Ham plat defensively at home and, since Chelsea are not too offensive away, under 2.5 is seen as a good bet here. UNDER 2.5
Juventus vs Fiorentina	1	1.80	Mutu is out for a month, Juventus is not in form and cant fiind the victory in last rounds. Juventus will be hungry for points in this one, and Fiorentina away whiout Mutu like i said is vulnerable i think a one goal diffrence here of course Juve win 1

Picks by Niksan:

Birmingham City v Tottenham Hotspur	2	1.90	After such an amazing victory was week the team of Tottenham is really flying right now. they held great celebrations and even some of the players got so much drunk that their teammates had to help them get a taxi and get home to rest lol. This is the only thing that somehow scares me but still i think Tottenham will just be too much for Birmingham. Even considering thei awful away record (2-6-6) i think its now time to improve it a little. And another fact that makes me feel it will be an away win is that in the first match between these 2 teams Totenham lost on their own stadium 2-3 and will now be looking for a revenge.
Manchester City v Wigan Athletic	1	1.60	Last week i was crushed. I expected a comfortable win for Man City and they failed me again. Something is deffinately going on with the team and its is not a good thing. Many thought that after that win vs their city rivals - Man United, Man city would start winning and winning and winning. However, it didnt happen. And i just cant understand how they had such an impressive record in their home matches and managed to destroy it with just several games. Petrov will be out for this game and this scares me as he is one of my favourites in Man City. Still i will be looking for this home win for the next few game city have at home. It will come and best thing is to come this weekend.
Recreativo - Real Madrid	X2	1.13	A controversial bet considering their recent performance. I don't think odds on Real Madrid will stay this high for long. Recreativo de Huelva have done well in their last 3 matches. Real Madrid should have been well clear at the top of Primera Division, but with losses against Getafe, Betis and Almeria the team is only two points ahead of Barcelona. Yes, RM do have a CL match some days later, but considering their recent matches they can't afford taking this match easily. Losing 3 of their last 4 league games isn't good for any team, especially not for a team that is fighting to win the league. At these odds I think a clear away win is a good bet but considering their recent performance and the VERY VERY important game vs Roma i put X as a possible outcome too.
Werder Bremen v Borussia Dortmund	1	1.65	Borussia are playing really nice football lately winning their last 2 games. The team moral is high right now and as i read in an interview the players will try to do their best to get something from the strong team of Werder. Though their away record is not that good (3-2-6) in the last 5 away games they have (2-1-2). This makes me feel they are going to push hard on Saturday night but i still cant believe they will make something impressive. Werder have made several mistakes in the last rounds and it is not the time for another one. Their home stadium is like a fortress for the other teams. Only the impressive (9-0-2) which they have on their stadium can make you bet for them with 2 hands. And so i do - i expect a comfortable home win here.

Picks by LEDI17:

Montpellier - Angers	under 2.5	1.50	The both teams have a weak attack and a strong defence. Angers have scored every 84 minutes and Montpellier every 77 minutes. In their 5 last head to head matches only one finished over 2.5. Also Angers have conceded a goal every 130 minutes and Montpellier every 216 minutes. This is a tight game and they will not concede each others nothing.
Fulham - Manchester United	2	1.35	Fulham have only a win in their 17 last matches. Manchester United have won 6 last head to head matches. In their last head to head match in Premier League Manchester United have dominated the game and Cristiano Ronaldo have scored two goals. Manchester United is 3 points behind Arsenal and if it will not win this match they will miss their chances to get to the top of the table. Their morale is up after Arsenal draw against Birmingham last week and they recovered 2 points.
Brechin - Alloa	1	1.80	Brechin is in the 6th place and Alloa is in the 5th place. They have to fight this time for the 5th place. Brechin's morale is up as they have only one defeat in their last 7 matches and this was last week with Ross Country. In their first match this season Brechin have won 0-4 against Alloa. Brechin have to win this match because their next match is with Ross Country and they have to be prepared for this.
Lorient - Nancy	under 2.5	1.55	In their last head to head 14 matches the result was under 2.5. They also have a strong defence. Lorient concede a goal in every 146 minutes and Nancy a goal in every 195 minutes. Nancy hasn't lost any away game in this season and they have 13 clean sheets matches. Lorient has 12 clean sheets matches.
Ajax - Excelsior	over 2.5	1.34	Ajax are in a great form this season as they have managed to score a goal every 29 minutes. they have in front of them a very weak team. Excelsior are in 17th place and they have a terrible form. If they win this match Ajax will get close to PSV which are in the 1st place. After they have win against Nac Breda last week they have to keep they form and to show they have to fight for the first place.
Nac Breda - Sparta	1	1.45	Nac Breda is in 5th place in Eredivise and they have a great form beacuse in their 10 last matches they have only one defeat and nine wins. In their last 5 hed to head matches they have one draw and four wins for Nac Breda. If they can keep this form they will remain in Champions League zone so I think Nac Breda will fight and will win this match will all costs.
SC Cham - Vaduz	2	1.50	Vaduz are a great team and this time they have to deal with a weak team. Vaduz are in 2nd place in Challenge Division and SC Cham in 17th. if they win Vaduz will get close to the first place, Bellinzona. They have only one defeat in their last 10 matches, a draw and 8 wins. In 10 matches SC Cham have 2 wins, a draw and 7 defeats. They will fight for this match but they have very weak players. I think they will not manage well this game and Vaduz will profit.

All odds are from Bwin.com

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Radek