15th February

[Radek]

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Hallo soccer fans!

Weekend picks for you from SoccerVista.com

Have to thanks Xazar7a, Beli, rtsilva, hunt3r, LEDI17, Niksan and Catalinho!


conclusion - recommended picks by SoccerVista

Shalke - Wolfsburg	1	1.55
Werder Bremen - Nurnberg	1	1.35
Almeira - Real Murcia	1	1.85

Picks by Xazar7a:

Jena - Koln	2	2.05	Koln has very balanced team and deserved to be in the top 3, and this is their objective for this season. Koln lost in the last round against Aachen away, but Aachen is serious team. Now Koln face the tail-ender Jena and will look to record a win which will get them back in the top 3. Here i go for away win.
Gueugnon - Le Havre	2	1.85	Good games helped Le havre to earn the top spot. Very good performance in the last 10 matches and not they get over nantes, which was leaders for long. At friday night Le havre face easy challenge in my opinion. I think Gueuhnon will go straight to league 3. Only away win i can see here.
MVV - Roosendaal	both teams to score	1.65	It will be one very interesting match between this two teams. They play good football and are in the first half of the table. MVV recorded 2 wins 2 losses and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. On the other side Roosendaal recored better performance 2 wins 2 draws and 1 loss. It will be good match and i think both teams to score here is good bet.
Waalwijk - Dordrecht	1	1.55	Dordrecht was power last season, but this they didnt perform very well. now they are midtable team. On the other side Waalwijk perform very well and topping the table currently. At hoem they are great 10-2-1. I think they will record another win here at home. I go for home win.
Schalke - Wolfsburg	1	1.55	Schalke are in great form and now hosting Wolfsburg will look to continue their good streak of 3 wins in row. They didnt have loss in Bundesliga 1 since 2 November 2007, when they lost agaisnt Energie. Wolfsburg are also in good form and defeated Schalke for the cup. And this will be another stimulus for Schalke to win. I expect one strong play at home and home win.
Werder - Nurnberg	1	1.35	Werder got precious point against Bayern, besides they could get more from this match and get on the top. Bayern have not easy match against Hannover. So wrong step from Munich there and Werder's win can get them on the top along with Bayern. Nurnbergs place speaks enough for their performance, despite that they perform not bad in last. But here Werder will be extra motivated and I think they will win this.
Karlsruher - Bayer	1 AH	1.45	It's gonna be god match. Two teams very ambitious and in very good form. The only thing i expect here is good and attacking football. So here i go for both teams to score. Inter - Livorno Inter is still unbeaten in Seria A this season and will look to record their 18 win this season there. Livorno is not hard opponent, they are a class under the level of Nerrazzuri and hardly will offer something interesting. i go here for home win with -1 AH.
Le Mans - Lyon	under 2.5	1.70	Le Mans are not very constant team, but i think they will oppose good to Lyon. The champions plays very good and record win over win, but their performance is not so perfect. I expect on not very easy match for them. Here under 2.5 goals is good bet in my opinion.
Willem - PSV	1 AH		PSV made a wrong step in the last round, but they have good lead in front of the second. PSV's players maybe will be little tired after the win for UEFA. So i think here home win with +1.5 Ah could do the job.
G.A.Eagles - Ado den haag	both teams to score	1.45	The Eagles was on the top places but after some bad matches they got on this place. Den haag are also not very constant team. But i expect one strong match here with goals in both nets. Both teams to score here.
Almeria - Murcia	1 AH		Almeria is in very good form and i expected they to win their match against Mallorca, but they didnt manage to do this. Murcia is far more easy opponent for them in my opinion. They record bad after bad match. i expect here strong home play. I expect Almeria to score 2-3 goals here, so i play them home win with -1 AH.

Picks by Beli:

Caykur Rizespor - Fenerbahce	2 over 2.5	1.50 1.65	Rizespor made row of 4 lost games in last 4 games.In last game they lost away with Istanbul Büyüksehir 2-1.In last 5 games Rizespor won 1 and lost 4 of them.At home Rizespor in 11 games won 5 draw 1 and lost 5.In other side Fenerbahce is unbeten in last 9 games.They made row of 3 wins in 3 last games.In 5 last games they won 4 and draw 1.In away games Fenerbahce won 5 draw 3 and lost 2 games.Tradition is in side of Fenerbahce and looking in prewious games those teams usually score 2 or 3 goals per game but looking to current form i think that this game will be Over 2.5.MY picks for this game are away win and Over 2.5 goals.
Austria Salzburg - Mattersburg SV	1	1.40	First game in Austria 1-st league Austria from Salzburg will host team of Mattersburg.In first season Austria S. made 37 points in 23 games and are leading table together with Sturm Graz and Austria Wien.Austria Salzburg is best home team in the league.In 11 games they won 9 draw 1 and lost 1.In other side Mattersburg in away games won 2 draw 5 and lost 4.I see team of Salzburg favorite for this game in first game that they play here in this stadium result was 2-1 for Austria.Home win for this game.
Guingamp - Angers	Under 2.5	1.55	Both teams are team that dont score to much goals.Guingamp at home in 11 games 9 times was Under 2.5 and 2 times Over 2.5.In other side Angres in 11 away games 8 times was Under 2.5 and 3 times Over 2.5.In this game both teams dont like to loose points so the game will be played carefully and with alot of tacktic.I dont see many goals on this game and Under 2.5 is grate for this game.
EW Eindhoven - Cambuur Leeuwarden	over 2.5	1.50	Duel of teams of the bottom of table.Both teams want to take points from this game and to climb in the table for that i think we will see open game here that will be result of many goals scored on this game.Eindhoven in 13 home games 9 times played Over 2.5 and 4 times under 2.5 in other side Cambur in 13 away games 9 times played over 2.5 and 4 times under 2.5.In this game i think both teams will run for three points and we will see fighing game with many goals.Over 2.5 is grate for this game.
Schalke 04 - Wolfsburg	1	1.55	Both teams started season good with win.Schalke in first game won Stuttgart 4-1 and in last game they won Dortmund away 2-3.In other side Wolfsburg in first game won Bielefeld away 0-1 and in last game they won Buisburg 2-1.Schalke at home in 10 games won 6 draw 3 and lost 1,in other side Wolfsburg in 9 away games won 3 draw 2 and lost 4.In first game last season those teams draw 1-1 in Wolfsburg.I think Schalke are huge favorite for this game and i think they can win easy this game,they have realy beter team meybe one of the best in bundesleague for the moment.
Stoke - Scunthorpe	1	1.55	Stoke made row of 3 wins in last 3 games.In last 5 games they won 4 and lost 1.At home Stoke have 9 wins 4 draws and 3 lost games.In other side Scunthorpe in last 5 games won 1 draw 1 and lost 3 games.In away games Scunthorpe won 3 draw 5 and lost 8 games.In first game in schunthorpe those teams played 2-3.I see Stoke much beter team then Scunthorpe and i dont think that they can make any suprise here.I think this is clear home win.
Bremen - Nürnberg FC	1 AH	1.90	Bremen are in bad position in new season they ost first game with Bochum 1-2 and then they draw with Bayern 1-1,same like them NUrnberg first game lost from Karsruher 2-0 away and then draw home with Rostock .This is must win game for Bremen and i think that they wil explode in this game.They have grate team and i think they learn from their mistake in two prewiouse games and in this game they will show their best face.I think that Bremen will win by more then one goal here so i will take AH -1.
Palermo - Cagliari	1	1.70	Palermo will host the team of the bottom of table.Palermo in last 5 games won only 1 game and lost 4 of them.In last game they lost from Torino away 3-1.In other side Cagliari is team that won only 3 in 22 season games.In last 5 games they won 1 draw 2 and lost 2 games.I see sicilian team favorite in this game they need those points and i think that they can win easyly those points.Palermo is having realy bad results in last games but i see chance for them in this game to improve their results.Home win for Palermo.

Picks by rtsilva:

(Jan. P/L = +41,50 pts; Feb. P/L = +36,25 pts). Last week provided another profit for us all. This weekend’s bets:
Braga vs Setubal	10 pts Braga	1.95	Braga is one of the best teams in Portugal but they seem to be a little unlucky lately (5 games without winning but always close to win). They have a good record at home 4-3-1 and they are very close to a UEFA Cup position. Setubal is doing an above expected championship but they’ve lost some good players (in the re-open of the market in January) on account of that, and they draw a lot away from home (1-7-1). Anyway they are also 5 games without wins and they seem to be on a downward curve. I think this is a Good bet to make in a week that doesn’t give me much to choose.
Hamburg vs Bochum	5 pts Bochum	7.95	Hamburg comes to this match with 4 draws in a row and a 5 No Win run, and they’ve not been at their best since the championship resumed. On the other hand, Bochum benefited from the winter pause and they won the last away game against Werder Bremen (2-1). At these odds, I’m willing to put some money on Bochum to inflict Hamburg’s first defeat at home.
Duisburg vs Stuttgart	5 pts DRAW	3.40	Duisburg is the last of the Bundesliga, but Stuttgart comes from a 3 lose sequence, and they have a very bad record away from home, having lost 7 times in 9 games (2-0-7). This is a good chance to fill the Draw hole in the Stuttgart away statistic.
Leixões vs Boavista	5 pts Boavista	3.35	Leixões is from a town very close to Porto (so a good support from Boavista supporters is expected), and doesn’t win much (draws a lot: 10 draws in 18 games). Their ambition is not to be relegated to the second division (lost the last game). Boavista is, traditionally, a strong team in Portugal, but they had a very bad start in this championship, but they managed to make a spectacularly recover (last 8 games: 2 Lose, 1 Draw and 5 wins). They have a very poor away record with no wins, but in such a good heart at the present, I think this will be their first win away from home.
Sporting vs Amadora	2 pts Amadora	12.00	Nothing much to say here. Sporting is one of the best teams in Portugal and they played very well against Basel on last Wednesday UEFA Cup match. In 2005 they’ve lost at home against Amadora. Sporting should win this, but they are in a very poor form at the present (last 4 Liga games: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 lose). The other curiosity is that, Sporting hasn’t Lost yet at home and Amadora hasn’t Win yet away from home (maybe this is the game to fill the blanks?). Amadora is well trained by a young trainer but this is a very speculative bet. Keep the stakes on a minimum level.

Picks by hunt3r

Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam	1	1.20	If this will not be home win what else? Ajax is at home and needs points they will beat Sparta for sure. Ajax is on 3`rd place whit 44 points, very clear here a good match for a combo
Duisburg vs Stuttgart	2	2.15	Stuttgart did not start so well after the break had 2 straight looses but whit good teams, Duisburg is at relegation zone, wonder why? because they play poor and Stuttgart must take advantage here 1-2 or 0-1 i see the score whit very good odds for a single match
Zaragoza vs Barcelona FC	2	1.95	A very interrsting match to wiew here and to bet of course , the odds aroudn 1,70 very nice for me Well Zaragoza is not in a good form, they lost last round away, Barca comes after 1-1 whit Sevilla Real are at 8 points in front, Barcelona needs this points
Xamax vs Young Boys	YOUNG BOYS TO SCORE		Why not Young Boys to score? last round Young Boys made 3-3 , Some statistics: They scored 48 goals and received 33 and Xamax lost last round 3-0 , maybe both teams to score is perfect but i propose YOUNG BOYS TO SCORE
Aek Athens vs Xanthi	1	1.40	Well is been a while since Aek won, Aek had a uefa cup match but still they need points because Olympiakos Piraeus and Panathinaikos Athens are in front and Aek at home plays very well, Xanti won last couple of matches but it will end here , they will not take nothing from Aek
Fiorentina vs Catania	1	1.40	Now when i write this Fiorentina leeds whit 1-0 Rosenborg in uefa match. I watched the game and Fiorentina played very well whit many chances to score. After some slips last round is time to get back in the game and start winning and Catania away are in a perfect loos strike
Naval vs Benfica	2	1.50	This is pure value, benfica will won this, are good in away games and will manage to take this 1-2

Picks by LEDI17:

Ajax Amsterdam - Sparta Rotterdam	Over 2.5	1.35	Sparta Rotterdam are desperate to win this match because they are near the dropping zone. Ajax is also in 3rd place with only 3 points from 6th place so if he looses this match it will be dropped in Uefa zone. The both teams come from a loose last week. Ajax has scored a goal every 33 minutes in this year and I think they will score more tomorrow as they seek a win.
Arbroath - Albion Rovers	1	1.75	Arbroath ad Albion Rovers are near each other in their classification but Arbroath form is better than Albion Rovers. In their last 7 matches Arbroath have won 5 of them but Albion Rovers haven't won anyone. Also in their 7 direct matches Arbroath have won 6 and draw one. In their home Arbroath have won 30% of this season's matches and Albion Rovers have lost 70% of away matches.
Manchester United - Arsenal	1	2.10	Manchester United will win this match because their form in Premier League is a draw and a loose in their two last games so the only way to change their form is to win in Fa cup. If they win with Arsenal it means a lot because Arsenal is their direct rival to win Premier League.
Feyenoord - Vitesse	1	1.35	Feyenoord is in the 4th place in Eredivise and they are fighting for a Champions League position which means they want to keep their position. The only reason is to win this match and Vitesse are in a bad form. They have got a goal in every 40 minutes and Feyenoord every 154 minutes.
Vaduz - Delemont	1	1.50	Vaduz have a better form than delemont as they have won 5 from 7 in ther last matches and Delemont have won only one. If they win Vaduz will reach the first position as they are only 3 points behind. Vaduz will get every chance in this match to win because is the best time to reach the first place because they lost in their last match and if they do a mistake again they will be in 5th place.
Juventus - Roma	1	2.35	Roma is preparing for their match in Champions League with Real Madrid and they are concentrated in this match. So they will let themselves to do a little mistake in their next match with Juventus. Roma is the direct opponent for Juventus to reach 2nd position and if they win Roma and Juventus will be only 1 point away.

Picks by Niksan:

Port Vale v Swansea City	2	1.75	Well.. nothing special can be said here - the first plays with the last in the championship - its just class difference here. And even the impressive draws of the hosts in the last games with some of the top teams cant make me feel that there is some other outcome than a comfortable win for Swansea. Moreover Swansea is not supposed to lose any points in such games if they want to keep their 1st place.
Southend Utd v Bournemouth	1	1.75	Southend got a cold shower in their last game and embarisingly lost to Millwall 2-1. The moral will be a bit low i think and the players have to get it high again as soon as possible. Best chance to do this is in the game vs another struggling team - Bournemouth. Even after the amazing 4-1 win over Luton Town i think Southend will be too much for Bournemouth to handle with. Moreover, the hosts play really good football and perform really well on their own stadium so i think it might be a hard one but it will be a win for the hosts.
Stockport County v Bury	1	1.75	Its only a week or so since Stockport won at Bury, and generally their form has been excellent recently, despite the departure of their top scorer. The young lad Rowe has come in and excelled, scoring a great hat-trick at Rotherham in their impressive 4-1, and as i watched the game he looks a real prospect, great movement and composed finishing. Stockport seem to be winning more away than home, but they will be buzzing while Bury are in the doldrums at the moment. I certainly would expect this to come in as a pretty solid home win. Not sure I'd back on the handicap though with it being a local derby.
Doncaster v Leeds	1X	1.30	I cant understan really why there are such generous odds for a Doncaster team who are absolutely flying at the moment. I think they are very underestimated here. Leeds on the other hand haven't won in 6 and cant actually show how they will start winning again. We all know its best to come back from a bad period in a match vs some big team but i cant really see Leeds making anything in this game. Doncaster have won 6 out of their last 7 (the one defeat coming against Swansea) and i definately think they will continue their winning streak.
Real Betis Sevilla v Real Madrid	2	1.68	Real Betis performs really unstable lately with results varying from impressive wins (such as the win vs Espanyol) to embarassing loses. At home their record is (3-4-3) which makes me think they cant be trusted in any game at all. Real Madrid on the other hand is flying high now. Raul and Casilas signed their new contracs according to which they will stay in the club for good. The moral will deffinately be high in the team after the impressive 7-0 win in their last championship game. Even though Casilas might not start in the first team due to some pain in his arm i cant believe Real Betis will be capable of doing anything against Real Madrid and i see a comfortable away win here.
Almeria - Real Murcia	1	1.85	The hosts show really impressive football in the last games even defeating the leader of the championship - Real Madrid. Their winning streak was stopped however with a draw in the last game but i still think they are now very good and the moral is high. I think their excellent performance will continue this weekend and they will achieve a good win over Real Murcia who are struggling away from home. Morever, they are struggling in all their matches not winning a game for the last month and a half. Their bad performance is expected to continue and i think Almeria will be too much for them to overcome so i think it will be a home win here.
Hannover 96 v Bayern Munchen	1X	1.96	I know its a bit strange to bet against the leaders of the championship but these leaders show in the last games they do not actually deserve to be leaders. Yes, they have some injured players but such a big team should not have problems even when some of the first team players are injured. Now about 5 of first squad players are injured + both goalkeeprs are out of the squad as well. Bayern just drawed 2-2 for the UEFA cup and the team will be tired for sure. Hannover on the other hand seem to improve its game lately and i think the team will be capable of stopping Bayern.
Werder Bremen v FC Nurnberg	1	1.35	Well.. not much analysis here - 2nd from the top plays vs 3rd from the bottom - its about class difference here. After achieving a comfortable win in the UEFA cup match Werder are now going good and should concetrate on the championship matches. Nurnberg on the other hand are struggling hard in their away matches (1-2-7 away record) and i think it will be a comfortable home win here.

Picks by catalinho:

Duisburg - Stuttgart	1X	1.57	Last place in Bundesliga Duisburg will host Stuttgart on Saturday. Stuttgart are on the 10th spot, fans are mad, the team isn't playing well atm. They have a bad away record, 2-0-7 and a negative goal average 10-21. Duisburg at home got 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses. They come after a loss against Wolfsburg and I think they have a good chance to win 3 points against shaky Stuttgart.
Inter Milano - Livorno	1 AH		Livorno allready caused an upset, drawing 1-1 with Milan on San Siro. Inter are playing the best football in Italy atm and after the draw with Udinese, Mancini wants to please their boss Moratti with a win. 3-0 for me here. Pick : Inter to win with -1.5 handicap
Willem II - PSV	2	1.45	PSV will come into this game with full confidence after their win at Philipps stadium against Helsingborg. Willem are on teh 16th place and I don't think that will have any chances against PSV.
Celtic - Hearts	1	1.28	With Scott McDonald in this form I can't see Hearts getting something when they will travel in Glasgow.

All odds are from Bwin.com


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Radek