25th January

[Radek]

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Hallo soccer fans!

Weekend picks for you fro SoccerVista.com

Have to thanks Xazar7a, Beli, Niksan, rtsilva and Empee!


Picks by Xazar7a:

Grenoble - Amiens	1	1.60	Grenoble after a couple of bad matches they get their first win from 5 matches. It was away against Reims 3-4. The host have great chances to finish in the top 3 and get a promotion, but they had to win some matches. They had great chances agaisnt Amiens, which lay on 18 place with 16 points and only one win away. Here for the away team will be hard, and i home win is the best bet here.
Gueugnon - Bastia	2	2.15	The home team is disasterous and lay on the bottom of this league. They had only 2 wins, which are at home and against Dijon and Chateaurox, which are not so strong team. At friday they face Bastia for which i can say that they play very good football. They are only 3 points from the top 3 teams and will be very motivated to get the 3 points against their weak opponent. Away win here.
Zwolle - Omniworld	1	1.40	Zwolel had great chance to get closer to the leaders Waalwijk, but after leading 2-0 against Veendam, they allowed the score to be equalised. At Friday Waalwijk again have not so very easy match and now is the chance of Zwolle which face tail-enders Omniworld. I can see only home win here.
MVV - Dordrecht	over 2.5	1.55	I can say two good team face to face on the Friday night. and despite Dordrecht are 7 places after Maastricht i expect to oppose good to their opponents. Very interesting match here, with a lot of goals maybe even 4-5. But i will go only for over 3 goals here.
Braga - Belenenses	under 2.5	1.60	This match opposes the 7-th and 8-th in the Super liga. Both teams fight for place in Europe and this match will be very important. It is expected to be a strong match. The only pick i can give here is under 2.5 goals, because matches like this finish with no 0 or 1 goals.
Arsenal - Newcastle	both teams to score	1.72	It is expected as usual Arsenal to play with some of their reserves. It is possible Newcastle to rest some players. This is very unpredictable match because, everything here depends of this how Arsenal youngsters will play. they can play sometimes very strong and sometimes disasterous like in the match against the Spurs. After all i think this will be interesting match in which both teams will have their chances and i think both teams will score here.
Liverpool - Havant	AH 0:3.5	1.73	What to say about this match only my pick. And it is home win with -4 AH. maybe is a little crazy, because maybe the home team will not dive a lot in this match, but if you want try it.
Motherwell - Inverness	1	1.90	Motherwell is the good surprise in this league along with Dundee united. They both are with 35 points but Motherwell are 2 matches in hand. They face one surmountable team. Inverness play good but most of their matches are from the home matches. Away they didnt perform very good. Here i go for home win.
Wigan - Chelsea	2	1.50	Despite how perform Chelsea they win, i for third time will say, they made win after win, sometimes with miracles. So what to say, despite what will be Wigan's play, the only end of this match will be away win.
PSV - Excelsior	AH 1		I this match you know the winner - PSV. There is a big difference between this two team. PSV always was power in Holland. Only thing that worry me here is that this is match between the first and the last. There is unwritten rule that say never play mathces like this, and sometimes it is true i saw a lot of strange matches between first and last team. But despite all i will go here for home win with -2 AH.
Man United - Tottenham	X	4.25	Tottenham will be boosted after the 5-1 win over Arsenal in the midweek. Manchester are in great form and will look for their 5 win in row. this two teams meet each other for second time this season. First match finished 1-0 with Nani the goalscorer. If i am not in mistake i think that was the first goal of Nani from 30 metres. And despite the Spurs' good play united won. In this match there will be some differences. Tottenham is not the same team, despite they still have some problems in the defense. I can offer something to the Spurs to think for Man United like for Arsenal, they will be extra motivated then . Very unpredictable match here. So I will go risky for one draw.
Olympiacos - Aris	1	1.35	8-1-0 at home for the hosts, team which is always on the top in Greece. Aris may perform good, but against Olympiacos away will be very hard. They are on run of 12 matches unbeaten and will look to extend this record. I will go here for home win.

Picks by Beli:

Troyes - Montpellier	Under 2.5	1.55	Troyes in last game won Angres away 0-1.In last 5 games Troyes won 3 draw 1 and lost 1.IN last 5 games home Troyes 2 wins 2 draws and 1 lost game.In other side Montpellier after 4 games draw in row 0-0 they won Dijon away 0-2 and in last game they won home Boulogne 3-0. In last 5 games Montpellier won 2 and draw 3 In last 5 away games Montpellier have 1 win 2 draws and 2 lost games.Troyes in last 5 games 4 times played under 2.5 once over 2.5.In 11 home games Troyes played 5 times oer 2.5 and 6 times under 2.5.In oter side Montpellier in 11 away games 2 times played over 2.5 and 9 times under 2.5.We easy can say that Motpellier is team tat have best defansive in the league with only 16 goals concede in 21 games.in 11 away games they concede 11 goals.While in last 6 games tey didnt concede goal.I can see clea Under 2.5 in this game. First game in Montpellier was 1-0 for home team.
Maastricht - Dordrecht	over 2.5	1.55	Maastricht in last game draw with RKC 1-1 home.Maastricht in last 5 games 4 times played Over 2.5 and one time under 2.5.In 11 home games Maastrict 7 times played over 2.5 and 4 times under 2.5. In other side Dordrecht in last game lost from Den Haag 2-1 away.IN last 5 games they played 4 times over 2.5 and one time under 2.5. Dordrecht in 12 away games 9 times played over 2.5 and 3 times under 2.5. Maastricht is faorite in this game but Dordrecht is team that know to score they scored in 9 of 10 last games and i think tat we will see goals on this game so Over 2.5 is grate for this game.In first game Dordrecht lost home 1-2.
Lecce - Frosinone	1	1.55	Lecce is grate team wit big ambition this year.They hae good results.They are unbeten in last 4 games, in last 5 games they have 3 wins 1 draw and 1 lost game.In last game they won Vicenza away 1-3.At home they have 5 wins 4 draws and 1 lost game.In other side Frosinone is in 5 games without win and in 5 games they have 3 draws and 2 lost games.In last game they lost away from Albinoleffe 2-0.In 11 away games Frosinone have 3 wins 2 draws and 6 lost games.Lecce in first game this year home draw with Messina 0-0 and they are still without win home in new 2008 i think that in this game they can made their first win in new year.Home win for Lecce is gate pick.
Piacenza - Ascoli	under 2.5	1.55	Piacenza in last game lost from Mantoa home 1-0.In last 10 games Piacenza 8 times played under 2.5 and 2 times Over 2.5.In 10 home games Piacenza 8 times played under 2.5 and 2 times Over 2.5.In other side Ascoli in last game draw with Triestina 1-1.In last 5 games Ascoli all were Under 2.5.Also all 5 last away games were under 2.5.In 10 away games Ascoli 8 times played Under 2.5 and 2 times Over 2.5.Both teams are defansily oriented and i think tat in this game we will not see also alot of goals mybe there can be 1 or 2 maximum goals.So i see good alue on under 2.5 for this game.
Raith Rovers - Berwick	1 over 2.5	1.30 1.65	Rait Rovers in last 5 games have 3 wins and 2 lost games.IN last game they won Queen's Park 0-1 away.In last home game they lost from Ross County 0-1.In 11 home games Rait Roers ave 5 wins 2 draws and 4 lost games.In other side Berwick in last 5 games have 1 draw and 4 lost games.In last game they lost from Peterhead 9-2.In head 2 head games this year Raith Rovers won home 3-1 and lost away 2-1.I see Raith Rovers favorite to win in this game.They have beter team and they are playing with outsider Berwik tat took only 12 points in 22 games.In away games Berwik have 1 draw and 11 lost games.Also i will pick another pick for this game Over 2.5 is grate for this game.In 10 home games Raith rovers 6 times played Oer 2.5 4 times Under 2.5 while Berwik in 11 away games 10 times played Over 2.5 and once under 2.5.So my pick for this game are home win and Over 2.5.
Darlington - Macclesfield	1	1.50	Darlington in last 5 games won 3 and lost 2.they won last 3 games in row.In last game they won Mansfield away 0-1.In home games Darlington have 6 wins 5 draws and 1 lost game.In oter side Macclesfield after 9 games without win they won in last game Peterborough away 0-1.In last 5 games they have 1 win 1 draw and 3 lost games.In away games Macclesfield have 3 wins 3 draws and 5 lost games.In first head 2 head game those teams draw without goals 0-0.Darlington is beter team i think and they will continou their wining row and i hope after this game they will have 4 wins in row.
Chester - Rotheram	under 2.5	1.72	Chester in last game lost from Notts County away 1-0.In last 5 games they played 3 times Under 2.5 and 2 times Over 2.5. In 13 home games Chester 6 times played Over 2.5 and 7 times Uder 2.5.In other side Roteram In last game draw with Wycombe 1-1. In last 5 games Roteram 3 times played Under 2.5 and 2 times Over 2.5.In 12 away games Roteram 10 times played Under 2.5 and 2 times Over 2.5.In 12 away games Rotheram scored 15 goals and concede 8 goals.Roteram play more carefully in away games and usualy win with 1 goal i dont think that we will see many goals on this game.Under 2,5 for this game.
Elche - Albacete	1	1.70	Elche lost last game home with Xerez 2-4.In last 5 games Elche won 2 and lost 3 games.In last 5 home games Elche ave 3 wins 1 draw and 1 lost game.In all 10 home games Elche have 6 win 2 draws and 2 lost games.In oter side Albacete lost last game home with Las Palmas 2-1. In last 5 games Albacete won 2 draw 1 and lost 2 games.In last 5 away games Albacete won 1 draw 1 and lost 3 of tem.In all 11 away games Albacete won 2 draw 3 and lost 6 games. In first game Elche won Albacete away 0-1.I see Elce wining on this game too they ae beter team for my opinion and i see good odds for home win in this game.
Alaves - Gimnastico	under 2.5	1.55	Alaves in last game lost home from Celta igo 2-3.In last 5 games Alaves 3 times played under 2.5 and 2 times Over 2.5.In 11 home games Alaes 2 times played Oer 2.5 and 8 times under 2.5.In other side Gimnastico in last game draw wit Salamanca 1-1 and that was 6-th game in row that they played Under 2.5.In all 11 away games they played 3 times Under 2.5 and 8 times Over 2.5.Looking also head 2 head games in 3 games they played Under 2.5.Their last game when Gimnastico host Alaves finished 2-0.I this this is grate game for Under 2.5.
Milan - Genoa	1	1.25	After good games wit Napoli and Udinese Milan fall down with Atalanta and after they were leading 0-1 they lost 2-1.In oter side Genoa is in row with 4 games witout loose and three last games win in row.In last game tey won Atalanta 2-1.In last 5 games Genoa won 3 draw 1 and lost 1.In away games Genoa hae 2 wins 4 draws and 3 lost games.Milan are wit 24 points in 17 games in 10 position 25 points less then Inter Milan and 10 poins lees ten Fiorentina in 4-th place place that will send them on champions league in next year.I think Milan will not have anoter chance and there is no place for mistake for them.I think they will win this game hard or easy.

Picks by Niksan:

RCD Espanyol Barcelona v Real Betis Sevilla	1	1.70	Espanyol's captain and main goalscorer broke his arm and will be probably out of the team for the next 2 months. Still i think the hosts will be too much for the struggling away from home team of Betis. Espanyol are flying high now and considering they had 2 loses in the last 2 matches i think its time they start winning again. Moreover, they are fanstastic on their own stadium, not winning just 3 of their 9 home games.
Real Madrid FC v Villarreal	1	1.45	After the crushing 3-0 i the previous match i think the situation will be the same here. Santiago Bernabeo has become a real fortress for the teams that visit it and i think this tradition will continue. Villarreal is a nice team but i think Real will be too much for them here and after being eliminated for Copa del Rey they will go full squad here and concentrate on their championship matches so they keep the good priority over Barca.
Valencia - Almeria	X	3.40	Valencia will have an important return match vs Atletico Madrid next Wednesday and considering their place in the championship i expect them to concentrate on Copa del Rey matches rather than on championship matches. I havent checked any team news but i expect some of they players to be rested for the clash vs Atletico. Moreover, i think they are a bit overrated here after the 1-0 in the first match vs Atletica and this may turn to be a bad thing for them here.
Mallorca - Atletico Madrid	X2	1.38	Similarly to Valencia these both teams have very important matches next Wednesday. However, considering the places these 2 teams take in the championship the match of Mallorca vs Getafe (1-0 Getafe winning the first match) turns to be of more importance for them. I think Mallorca will fully concentrate on Copa del Rey matches and Atletico will want some kind of revenge after 1-1 in the first match between these teams in September. The last time Mallorca had won here was on 7 October 2007, since then they have 2 draws and 2 loses on their stadium and an overal record of (3-3-3) this season. I dont think they will get the win here - its just Atletico playing too good now.
Aston Villa v Blackburn	1	1.90	Not much analysis here - its just an overal impression i have of the 2 teams. And in addition may be the dramatic fall of the winning factor in the bookie i follow (from 2.35 to 1.95 over the week) 0.40 is too much for such a match i think. And if Villa have any serious European ambitions this season then these are the games that they must win at home.
Arsenal - Newcastle Utd.	X2	2.55	After being defeated in the Carling Cup and by such an impressive result (5-1 omg.. i still cant believe it) the moral in the team is low for sure. Moreover, the improper behaviour and the quarrel between Adebayor and Bentner have its negative result on the team as a whole. Venger will surely rest some key players and considering all this i think it will be the best chance for Newcastle to hit them again. The most probable outcome is a draw here but i wouldnt be surprised if Newcastle manages to get the win here

Picks by rtsilva:

Last week I gave you 30,50 points profit (from 31 pts total investment – remember: 10 pts system), given you a 98% ROI (January: +53,5 pts; ROI = 97%). Lets hope I’m able to keep this kind of returns this week. My proposals are all a little bit speculative, but I have a good feeling about them, and a 53,5 pts profit to risk:
Marseille Ol. vs Caen	10 pts Marseille	1.80	Marseille is recovering from a bad start and, at the present, they’re strong at home (weak away from home). Caen comes from 3 draws in a row and doesn’t lose for a long time now (9 games). I think Marseille will stop the non losing run of Caen.
Real Madrid vs Villareal	6 pts DRAW	3.80	Real has an impressive record at home (9-0-0 and more from last year), and it’s impossible to say, with confidence, that they will not win this game. Anyway, I’m betting that Villareal (presently in very good form – they destroyed Valência last week) will stop the incredible run of Real (nobody wins all the time). Nevertheless this is a speculative bet and the 6 pts comes from the fact that I’m having an extremely positive month.
Sevilla vs Osasuna	6 pts DRAW	3.75	Sevilla lost the last 2 games (away), so their confidence is not high, and Osasuna, despite being a weak away team, they draw a lot (away games 1-6-6), and they come from a positive result (2-0 win). Also Sevilla has no draws at home and this seems the perfect game for that to happen.
Udinese vs Inter	5 pts Udinese	4.70	In the last game, Udinese lost only in the 90th minute against Milan, and they are a very good team at home (5-2-2). They are presently at 5th in the league (fighting for UEFA Cup, maybe Champions League). Inter doesn’t loose (15-4-0) and that is a fact, but someday has to happen, and I think this could be the day. They played (last Wednesday) almost all the game against Juventus with 10 players, so some of the players will be a little bit tired. Nevertheless this is a speculative bet and the 5 pts comes from the fact that I’m having an extremely positive month
Catania vs Parma	3 pts Parma	3.90	Catania had a tough match against Udinese last Wednesday (lost 3-2), but they’re a strong home team (5-2-2). Parma has yet to win an away game (0-2-7), but I saw their last away game against Inter, and I liked what I saw. They played very well and didn’t deserve to lose. So again I’m speculating, and this could be the match they will make the first away win (Small bet).

Picks by Empee

Zulte Waregem - Cercle Bruuge	5 pts Cercle	2.25	Cercle Brugge are playing the most beautiful and attacking football in Belgium at the moment. They are in a winning mood after winning against Club Brugge (cup) and Genk (5-1 trashing). Zulte is just a mediocre team so Cercle should win this normally.
Charleroi – Westerlo	4 pts X2	1.64	Westerlo are playing well lately and I think they have the opportunity to at least take a point here from mediocre Charleroi.
RC Genk – AA Gent	3 pts Gent	3.50	Genk are having a little crisis; fans want the manager to be fired. AA Gent played really well last week, especially with their new player Fadiga.
Mouscron – Sint Truiden	1 pt X2	2.06	Mouscron really isn’t that good as the odds suggest. New coach Scifo is known as a not so good tactician and Sint Truiden have bought some good players which should be capable of taking a point.
Club Brugge – Germinal Beerschot	1 pt Germinal	6.00	Ridiculous odds. Club Brugge are leading but with very bad and lucky football. Beerschot have won 9 games in a row now and if they win, they’ll have beaten the club’s record: 10 games.

All odds are from Bwin.com


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