18th January 2008

[Radek]

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Hallo soccer fans!

Weekend picks for you

Have to thanks Xazar7a, Beli, Niksan, hunt3r, rtsilva and Jason!


Picks by Xazar7a:

MVV - Waalwijk	Both teams to score	1.40	MVV will be real problem for Waalwijk. MVV sometimes can play weak, but osmetimes tehy had graet matches, and this one will be very important and they will be very motivated. For Holland is typical for one team to play better at home. I expect strong home play, but Waalwijk will not give up easily, it will be one very interesting match and I expect both teams to score here.
Den Haag - Dordrecht	2	3.30	Den Haag are not in to very good form right now and recorded 4 losses in their last 5 matches and are getting away from the qualification zone and Dordrecht ready to get their place. Dordrecht perform not the best in last time, but perform better from the home team. I think here we can see one away win.
Reims - Grenoble	1	2.45	Both teams are in very bad form. And despite that they are from different parts of the table it will be match with intrigue. Reims are strong at home and mainly get theit points there. Grenoble is 3-3-3 away woth 10-9 G.D. In the last 3 away matches they has o points won. While in the last 3 home matches Reims has one win and 2 draws. Here is very possible the draw, but i will risk and go for home win.
Veendam - Zwolle	2	2.25	The second Zwolle are just 4 points after the leaders Waalwijk and will look to attack the first place. It is possible Waalwijk to slip, so the away team will be extra motivated to get 3 points here. Veedam has only one loss at home, but in last time they dont perform as well as they used to. On the other side we see Zwolle which recored only one match different from win in their last 5 matches. They are in great form andi think they can get closer to the leaders with win here. Away win.
Hearts - Hibs	Both teams to score	1.65	The great derby will be play by two i dotn think great temas at the moment. To be honest tehy perfom awful and like never before, especially Hearts. But despite tehir current form this match is derby and will be played like it. Hibs started with a win this season after winning in the first edition of this derby this year. They won 1-0 and after that they amde very good matches, but in the last months they play very bad. The same is the situation in Hearts. But despite everithing i expect great match here and both teams to score.
Birmingham - Chelsea	1:0 AH - 2	2.40	This match is in doubt in my opinion and i will tell you why. Birmingham is not very strong team and dont have so many classy players, but they know how to play agaisnt strong sides like Arsenal, Man United, Liverpool and Chelsea. THey draw against Arsenal, before that united recorded hard win with only 1-0, and besides the home team managed to get a point fron Anfield. I remember something else before a couple of years when Birmingham hold Chelsea to draw at Stamford Bridge. But now the things are different. Chelsea is good team now and win match after match bu sometimes very lucky in my opinion. But i think they will show potential in this match and will win with more than one goal. I expect defencive play from the home side but Grant's boys will do the job. I go here for away win with -2 AH.
Tottenham - Sunderland	1	1.45	It will be hard for the Spurs in this match. Keane made something good with the Black cats and ot was shown in the last match against Pompey. Tottenham - something is wrong with this team and i think it was not a question of a new manager, despite the good result that they recorded. Something is still missing, it's like sometimes the players are not very coordinated between each other. Or maybe there is lack of confidence or motivation, maybe there should be more matches against Arsenal Against them they showed good football and of course i know that the Gunners play with a lot of young players, but despite that the Spurs there looked well organised. On the other side Sunderland live very good impresion in my from the last match won 2-0. And i see them remain to play in Premiership next season two. In this match very important will be how Tottenham will start to play. I expect on concentrated play from them this match and to get at last the precious 3 points.
Portsmouth - Derby	1	1.40	Pompey should have lost against Sunderland but i think it should not be with 2-0, they had good opportunities for goal, but didnt have luck. Derby lay on the last place with only 7 points and look desperate on the last place. Pompey are not very inconstant team and alternate wins, draws and losses. But in this match i cant see them have any problems with Derby. Home win here.
St. Mirren - Motherwell	2	2.25	Motherwell is great surprise for me this season, i've never expected that they will get to the third place in Premier league. St.Mirren are not very particular team and i dont expect a lot from them in this match. I see the away team winning here.
Wigan - Everton	2	2.20	Wigan made some good results in last time, after the seria of 8 losses. On the other side is one great team in my opinion. Everton perform very well and i think its time wigan to record a loss again. The toffees have very good players an i think the win here is their's.

Picks by Beli:

Le Havre - Libourne	1	1.45	Le havre start new year with victory over Brest in last game 0-2 away.Le Havre in last 5 home games have 2 wins and 3 draws.In last home game Le Havre draw with Montpellier 0-0.Results of away games are beter then home games but in 9 home games Le Havre is still without lost game they have 4 wins and 5 draws.In other side Libourne in first game this year draw home with Reims 1-1.In last 5 away games Libourne in 1 draw 1 and lost 3 games.Libourne in all away games have 1 win 1 draw and 6 lost games.Libourne have 3 wins in 19 games and one of those wins was over Le Havre in first game 3-1.Le Havre this year have big ambition they have grate team and they are in right way and i dont think that Libourne with their game that will be probably concentrated in defance will block them on their way.Le havre is big favorite and they can win.
Tottenham - Sunderland	over 2.5	1.68	Tottenham lost last 2 games, both away games.First they lost from Aston Villa 2-1 then in last game they lost with Chelsea 2-0.In last 5 games home Tottenham won 4 and lost 1.In other side Sunderland won home over Portsmouth 2-0.In last 5 away games Sunderland lost all 5 games.Is there anything that i admire in Tottenham this year is grate ofensive and midfield oriented more in ofensive, but their realy worst side is defansive.For that my pick will be with goals.Tottenham in 10 games their goaldiference is 30:21 (51 goals in 10 games that is 5.1 goal per game AMAZING) in other side Sunderland in 11 away games 9:27 (36 goals and that is 3.27 goals per game) so average of both teams is more Over 2.5 goals.An something else Tottenham all games home played Over 2.5 so all 10 from 10 games Over 2.5. In other side Sunderland from 11 games 7 of them were Over 2.5. And something else in 11 head 2 head games 3 time played Under 2.5 and 8 times they were Over 2.5 since 1999.In those games when Tottenham host Sunderland that is in 5 games all 5 games were Over 2.5.Everythig is over here and i think that those games will continou i see alot of goals in this game and Over 2.5 is grate for this game.
Stoke - Preston	1	1.70	Stoke made 4 draw games in row in last 4 games after win over WBA 3-1.In last game Stoke draw with Ipswich 1-1.At home Stoke have 6 wins 4 draws and 3 lost games.In last 5 home games Stoke have 3 wins and 2 draws.In other sie Preston in last game won Watford 1-0.In last 5 games Preston have 3 lost and 2 wins.In last 5 away games Preston have also 2 wins and 3 lost games.Overall in 13 away games Preston have 2 wins 2 draws and 9 lost games.I see Preston improving their results but i dont think that Stoke will make any mistake on this game.Stoke is soft favorite haveing in consideration good results of Preston in those games and posibelty of suprise in this game.I will go for Stoke to win.
Albinolefe - Frosinone	1	1.85	Albinolefe is in three games without win.New year start with draw away with Rimini 0-0.Same was result in last game of last year Ascoli 0-0.At home Albinolefe won 7 draw 2 and lost 1 game.In last 5 home games Albinoleffe have 3 wins nad 2 draws.In other side Frosinone is without win in 5 games.They draw 3 and lost 2 games.They draw last 3 games in row.In last game Frosinone draw with Brescia 0-0.In last 5 away games Frosinone draw 1 and lost 4 games.Both teams are in three games without win. Albinoleffe i see favorite in this game i think they have beter team also they have show beter results and i will give chance to them.Home win and Albinoleffe to climb in the table.
Carlisle - Crewe	1	1.60	Carlisle lost last game away with Doncaster 1-0 after two wins home.Carlisle at home games have 9 wins 1 draw 1 lost.IN last 5 home games Carlisle have 5 wins.In other side Crew lost last game home from Leeds 0-1.In last 5 games Crew won 1 draw 1 and lost 3 games.Crewe in 5 last away games won 1 draw 1 and lost 3 games.Carlisle best side are home games where they have grate results.I think Carlisle is favorite in this game Crew will try to keep result in this game and point from this game will be alot of need for them but it will be hard i think Carlisle will win easy this game.
Venezia - Lecco	1	1.45	Venezia lost last game with leader Cittadella 3-1 away.In last 5 games Venezia won 1 draw 2 and lost 2 games.At home Venezia have 6 wins 2 draws and 2 lost games.IN last 5 home games Venezia won 4 and lost 1 game.In other side Lecco won last game home with Foggia 2-1.In last 5 games Lecco won 2 draw 1 and lost 2 games.In last 5 away games of Lecco they lost all 5 games.Lecco in away games won only 1 of 10 away games.Venezia show solid game in last game with Cittadella but they were unlucky meybe more and lost.Venezia have beter team then Lecco and i think that they can win.

Picks by hunt3r:

Excelsior vs Feyenoord	2	1.40	Some statistic: LWLLW Last 5 Games (Excelsior Home games) DWDLL Last 5 Games (Feyenoord Away games) Last 5 Games League Games Only Excelsior A FC Groningen(L) 3-2 H Roda JC(L) 1-2 A FC Utrecht(L) 4-1 H Ajax(W) 2-1 A Vitesse(L) 3-0 Feyenoord H PSV(L) 0-1 A Heerenveen(D) 1-1 H Sparta(W) 2-0 A NEC(W) 0-2 A VVV(D) 0-0 Feyenoord is on 3erd place, Excelsior last place Last round : 12.1.2008/Feyenoord vs Eindhoven PSV 0:1 12.1.2008/Groningen vs Excelsior 3:2 As you can see Feyernoord lost last round and now are in a need of win and points to keep track whit Ajax and Psv. Excelsior will not remaing in Netherlands 1that is ofr sure and cannot make troubles here A pleasent game to watch i recomend,and the question remains how many will Feyernoord score clear 2
Fulham vs Arsenal	2	1.40	League Positions Fulham1 9th vs Arsenal 2nd Last 5 Games League Games Only Fulham A West Ham(L) 2-1 H Chelsea(L) 1-2 A Birmingham(D) 1-1 A Tottenham(L) 5-1 H Wigan(D) 1-1 Arsenal H Birmingham(D) 1-1 H West Ham(W) 2-0 A Everton(W) 1-4 A Portsmouth(D) 0-0 H Tottenham(W) 2-1 Arsenal will have to snatch it here maybe a 1-2 but for sure will win to keep up track they had potential take 2
Villarreal vs Valencia	Valencia will score	1.44	Not much analys here, valencia in cup they did well but in the championship very awfull they lost last round Whit Athletico 1-0, lets give here a chance Valencia has not score for a long time and the odd is good @ 1.40 so i propose a smart bet take it in combos ( take in consideration an away win @ 3.10 ) but my typ here is VALENCIA WILL SCORE
Birmingham vs Chelsea	under 2.5	1.75	Some statistics: Birmingham vs Chelsea head to head stats: 2005/2006 ENG 1 Birmingham - Chelsea 0:0 2004/2005 ENG 1 Birmingham - Chelsea 0:1 2003/2004 ENG 1 Birmingham - Chelsea 0:0 2002/2003 ENG 1 Birmingham - Chelsea 1:3 TEAMS FORM : Last 5 Birmingham matches: 12.01.2008 ENG 1 Arsenal-Birmingham 1:1 05.01.2008 FA CUP Huddersfield-Birmingham 2:1 01.01.2008 ENG 1 Man Utd-Birmingham 1:0 29.12.2007 ENG 1 Birmingham-Fulham 1:1 26.12.2007 ENG 1 Birmingham-M brough 3:0 Last 5 Chelsea matches: 12.01.2008 ENG 1 Chelsea - Tottenham 2:0 08.01.2008 ENG LC Chelsea - Everton 2:1 05.01.2008 FA CUP Chelsea - QPR 1:0 01.01.2008 ENG 1 Fulham - Chelsea 1:2 29.12.2007 ENG 1 Chelsea - Newcastle 2:1 The New Year started bad for Birmingham. Three games without a win and i think will continue that way Chelsea will continue with their winning series , so i predict their win,but alos i think that we will not see a lot of goals because Birmingham will have their minds on the defense so you should try and you can see at statistic 1 game was over so UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Juventus vs Sampdoria	over 2.50	1.80	We travel to italy where takes place a important game for Juventus. Juventus need to return to winning ways if they are to keep the Scudetto dream alive, but they can expect spirited resistance and a tought game from a in form Sampdoria side . Form guide: Juventus (D W W W D) Sampdoria (W L D L W) Juventus (probable): Buffon; Salihamidzic, Legrottaglie, Grygera, Molinaro; Marchionni, Zanetti, Tiago, Nedved; Trezeguet, Del Piero Sampdoria (probable): Castellazzi; Campagnaro, Gastaldello, Lucchini; Maggio, Sammarco, Palombo, Volpi, Franceschini; Bellucci, Cassano The final tought of this game is that when Juve plays we see goals, and Sampdoria brings a strong squad to Juve so we will see some goals and maybe a home win OVER 2.5
Udinese vs Milan	X2	1.15	The last game that i propose here, i want to finish whit profit so lets see Form guide: Udinese (L W L D W) Milan (D W D L W) Udinese (probable): Handanovic; Zapata, Coda, Lukovic; Mesto, D'Agostino, Eremenko, Dossena; Pepe, Di Natale, Quagliarella Milan (probable): Dida; Bonera, Nesta, Kaladze, Maldini; Seedorf, Gattuso, Ambrosini; Kaka; Pato, Ronaldo Crazy squad, strong squad at Milan, we will see fireworks Last season: Udinese 0-3 Milan Just to be on the safe side take ( 80% away win here ) x2

Picks by Niksan:

Manchester City v West Ham United	1	1.90	If you could watch the last game between these team a few days ago you would have probably noticed West Ham playing the better football but the end result poor. That personally was West Ham at there best going forward and I expect no improvment on Sunday, so a West Ham goal is unlikely. City if I remember only had 1 shot on Target which was the headed goal and come Sunday this will be different and the fact West Ham's defence ball watch 80% of the time makes me think goals should come for City. Moreover, they have to start improving their home performance again after the drawas they made. So I see Sundays game a comfortable 3-0 win to Man City
Newcastle Utd v Bolton	1	1.80	Bolton are terrible away from home - They havent won any points since November, last year. Now Diouf and Anelka are out so the attacking line up is embarrasing really. Just Davies up front as the only striker and i cant see him really as a goalscorer so i expect them not to score. On the other hand Kevin Keegan’s shock return to Newcastle United on Wednesday, elevates the weekend’s game against Bolton – an otherwise fairly unappealing fixture – to top billing on the Premiership fixture list. I also expect an over here as both teams have weak deffence and many goals are likely to be scored.
Leeds United v Doncaster Rovers	1	1.75	Leeds are now on their winning streak again and they play amazing football on their own stadium. I expect them to go with full squad to this match and i dont think they will have some problems against the unstable away from home team of Doncaster.
Bury v Stockport	1	2.70	The 2:1 against Norwich will have worked wonders for a disoriented Bury side and it would seem the sacking of their manager was what was needed to get a message through to the players. They're actually a quite decent side and we could well see them get a good run together now. Stockport, winning four in a row, will be a tough task for them but I think they will have that little extra needed to get a result. Besides, Stockport aren't ones to win five in a row either. We should see an open match with the both getting to chances and I think there'll be some goals here - in Stockport's games, one can always expect a few so it is surprising to see a 2.25 total, although 10 straight unders between them explains it.
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid	both teams to score	1.80	The big derby of Spain this week. Both teams had matches in the midweek session and for a big surprise for all - Real lost to Mallorca and are now out of the competition. Yes, the manager rested most of the 1st squad players and they will now be available for the Madrid derby. Atletico on the other hand managed to get to 1-1 draw against Valladoid and are through to the next round of Copa del Rey. The goalscorer Aguero even said in an interview after that match that he WILL score to Real. I think this will mean a lot of attacks and opportunites for both teams to score as Real will not just sit and watch Atletico playing. I expect at least 3-4 goals here with both teams scoring at least one. And i hope Real wins this one.

Picks by rtsilva:

Last week I gave you 23 points profit (from 24 pts total investment – remember: 10 pts system), given you a 96% ROI (January ROI = 96%). Lets hope I’m in the same mood this week. My proposals are:
Udinese vs Milan	10 pts Milan	2.00	Like I predicted last week, the Christmas break was good for Milan, and the new player (A. Pato) was very impressive. They beat Napoli in great fashion (5 – 2). I’m confident that the bad times are over and, at these odds, I advise you to make a good bet on Milan. Value bet for me.
Zaragoza vs Murcia	10 pts Zaragoza	1.90	Zaragoza his one of the good teams in Spain, and it’s their 9 th!!! game in a row without winning (didn’t won the last 5 at home), and this is not sustainable. Also Murcia is weak away from home (1W-4D–5L, and they lost 4 – 0 to Barcelona last week). Value bet for me.
Auxerre vs Strasbourg	5 pts DRAW	3.00	Similar teams and both will be happy with a draw. It just seems the natural result of this match.
Villarreal vs Valencia	4 pts Valência	3.05	It’s almost a derby. Similar teams nowadays but, Villarreal seems to be a little on the downward curve (very unstable), and Valencia is in a 7 games serie without winning. I believe this is the turnaround for Valencia.
Juventus vs Sampdoria	2 pts DRAW	3.75	The return to action from the Christmas break was good for Sampdoria (W) and bad for Juve (D). Samp (7 th place) is fighting for a place in the UEFA cup. This is a speculative bet (I’ll try to give you 5 games per week with one speculative).

Picks by Jason Williams - www.footballbettingpro.com

Blackburn vs. Middlesbrough	1	1.70	Based on recent form, Blackburn is our clear winner in this clash. Moreover, H2H league clash for the past 2 years have produced 4 Blackburn wins. Verdict: Home Win.
Fulham vs Arsenal	2	1.40	Arsenal is hot on form and is also having the edge in H2H clash for the past 2 years. Past meetings for the last 2 seasons in the league have provided Arsenal 3 wins and 1 Lose. A pick on Arsenal looks like a safe bet.
Portsmouth vs Derby	1	1.40	Derby is having a tough time hanging out with the big boys this season and their results shows. On the other hand, Portsmouth have proved to be a tough opponent to beat. Another strong show for the home side is expected.
Fiorentina vs Torino	1	1.45	An in-form home team taking on an off-form away team normally will not produce too many surprises. Fiorentina to win - hands down.
Inter Milan vs Parma	1	1.20	Another example of an in-form home team taking on an off-form away team. Do not expect an upset here. Only expect that if you are high risk taker. Home win.
Juventus vs. Sampdoria	1	1.45	And yet another example of an in-form home team taking on an off-form away team. Juventus to win without much difficulty.

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Radek