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Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 184
| 11th January Hallo soccer fans!
Weekend picks for you
Have to thanks Xazar7a, Beli, Niksan, hunt3r and Rui!
Picks by Xazar7a: | Waalwijk - Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 1.75 | Every team in jupiler can envy Waalwijk for their home record 8-2-1. This team is th strongest in Jupiler and deservely lay on the first spot here. This match will be very important for them because if they loss this they call allow Zwolle to get the 1 spot and Go Ahead to get closer to them. Go Ahead is also a strong team but in last time they dont perform very well especially in they last away matches. I expect hard match here. And maybe home win with 1 goal difference. So home win here. | | Zwolle - Roosendaal | 1 | 1.85 | Zwolle will have great chance to get on the top spot if Waalwijk lose and they will be motivated to get 3 points over the unconstant team of Roosendaal. Zwolle is still unbeaten at home and will look to record their 8 win at home ground. In the last 5 matches they had only one defeat and 4 wins, which helped them lay on this place now. Roosendaal on the other side play very good t hoem but away they are terrible only one win. I think here Zwolle will take the points. Home win. | | Nantes - Chateauroux | 1 | 1.40 | Nantes is still unbeaten at home and with excellent goal difference at home 20:6. This team is very strong and in my opinion they surely will play at Ligue 1 next season. The away team is average power and cant see them dissapoint Nantes' fans with getting something from this. I go here for home win. | | NEC - Twente | 2 | 1.80 | Very interesting record by Twente: home record 4-4-1, away record 4-4-1. And it is true they are one very constant team and i admire it a lot. They again showed that for them have no big teams with getting a point from Amsterdam Arena. They are currently on a run of 11 matches unbeaten. The only chance for NEC to get more points is at home, but despite that they hardly do this too. There is a difference between the classes of this two teams. And surely Twente is the better here. And i go here for away win. | | Arsenal - Birmingham | 1 | 1.17 | Wenger rested a lot of his top players and play with the reserves against Tottenham for Carling Cup, which finished 1-1. But this match all are back and will look to get all the points here because Manchester are near. Birmingham play very defensively against the top teams and i see them defend 90 minutes here. But Arsenal players are a class over their opponents and hardly will not be able to score. I go here for home win. | | Chelsea - Tottenham | 0:1 AH - 2 | 2.10 | Chelsea is still unbeaten at home, while The Spurs are looking for their first win this season. But it will be very difficult to record it here at Stamford Bridge. Despite they win match after match Chelsea are not so strong as they look like. Their last 2 matches they want with the help of own goals. Not against Tottenham will not be like a walk in the park. It is true that Spurs defense is not so strong but they are team which is hungry for wins and will be very motivated. I think here Spurs are capable of getting something, so i go for away win here with + 1 AH. | | Everton - Man City | HT - X
under 2.5 | 2.05
1.70 | I expect one very strong match here. Both teams play very good and the match will be good for watching. I expect attacking football, but no more that 2 goals. This teams have good squads and both will go with the best and will look for the win. I will go here for draw at the half time maybe 0-0, because i expect in the first half both teams to be more concentrated. And also i will go here for under 2.5 goals, as i wrote i dotn expect high-scoring game. | | AEK - Veria | 1 | 1.15 | I think there is not needed to comment a lot. Two teams with different classes. and you can see that in the League Table. AEK 5-0-1 at home while Veria has only two points away and scored only two goals. Something than home win here will be miracle. Home win. | | Barca - Murcia | 1 | 1.15 | Barca will be without Roni and Messi in this match and they will miss to the team, but Barca showed that they can play well and without them, getting the draw against Sevilla in the midweek. Against Murcia will be hard but i expect strong motivated play, which will give them the win. Home win here. | | Ajax - AZ Alkmaar | over 2.5 | 1.60 | Every match between two teams despite that Az is not in their best form. But i think all the teams in Eredivisie are not he same. the intrigue this season is higher. There are 7 teams in difference of 6 points and the battle will be great. i think this match will be typical dutch with a lot of goals and will go here for over 2.5 goals. | | Atalanta - Roma | 2 | 1.90 | Roma still looking for a team to beat them away from home, but i think they will hardly find. Roma perform great and will look to get the points here 'cause they are 6 points after the leaders Inter. Atalanta performed very bad before the winter pause and now with fresh power they will go for something in this match. but despite all I think Roma will get the points and shorten Inter's lead. Away win. |
Picks by Beli: | Nantes - Chateauroux | 1 | 1.40 | Nantes are first in the table with 39 points.They won 11 games draw 6 and lost 2 games.In last 5 games Nantes won 1 draw 3 and lost 1 game.In last game they draw with Guingamp away without goals 0-0.In last 5 games home Nantes won 3 and draw 2 games.In last game home they won Amiens 3-1.In all home games Nantes have 6 wins and 3 draws.In other side Chateauroux after 5 games without win they won in last game home with Grenoble 1-0.In last 5 games Chateauroux won 1 draw 1 and lost 3 games.In last 5 away games Chateauroux won 1 draw 1 and lost 3 games.In last away game Chateauroux lost from Brest 2-1.In 9 away games Chateauroux won 2 draw 3 and lost 4 of them.In first game Nantes won Chateauroux away 1-2.This is first game after winter rest and i think that Nantes will start new season with win they are beter team they have big ambitions this year and they want to keep 1-st place.Nantes usually dont have big problems at home they hae big support of their fans and i think they will not have big trubles in this game. | | West Ham - Fulham | 1 | 1.65 | West Ham after grate performance wit Mancester Utd. and win at home 2-1 they lost away with Arsenal 2-0.West Ham in last 5 games won 2 draw 1 and lost 2 games.In last 5 games home West Ham won 1 draw 3 and lost 1.In last home game they won Manchester Utd. 2-1.In 10 home games West Ham won 3 draw 4 and lost 3 game.In other side Fulham are without win in last 9 games.Last win was with home with Reading 3-1 (03.11.2007) In last 5 games Fulham draw 2 and lost 3 games.In last game they lost from Chelsea home 1-2.In away games Fulham have no win 4 draws and 6 lost games.In last away game Fulham draw with Birmingham 1-1.West Ham hae solid team they sow that beter in game with Manchester Utd. where even they were loosing in HT 0-1 they turnover result and won 2-1 that is realy hard to do especialy when team is loosing in HT motivation of players fall down and they were playing with Manchester Utd. that show beter how fighter team is West Ham and dont give up till the end.In other side i see Fulham poor team here they have realy bad result in last games and in this game i think they will fo to keep result but i dont think that they can do that.West Ham for my opinion is big favorit in this game and they will take three points in this game. | | Peterborough - Macclesfield | 1 | 1.50 | Peterborough won last match with Shrewsbury home 2-1 after two lost games in row both away with Morecambe and Mansfield.IN last 5 games Peterborug won 2 and lost 3 games.In last 5 home games Peterborough won 4 and lost 1, the only lost games was with Milton Keynes 1-2.At ome Peterborough won 8 draw 2 and lost 2 games.In other side Macclesfield is without win in last 9 games.Last time when they win was in game with Notts County away 0-1 (17.11.2007).In last game they lost with Morecambe home 1-2.In last 5 games Macclesfield draw 1 and lost 4 games.In last 5 away games Macclesfield won 1 draw 1 and lost 3 games.IN last game away they lost from Rotherham 3-0.At 12 away games Macclesfield won 2 draw 5 and lost 5 games. I see Peterborough grate favorite in this game and especialy when they are playing home where they are one of the team that have best results at home games.I see home win for Peterborough in this game. | | Valenciennes - St. Etienne | 1 | 1.90 | Both teams are teams that have good results at home games and they are bad in away games.Valenciennes lost last game with Nice 1-0 away.In last 5 games they have 2 wins 2 draws and 1 lost game.In last home game they won Auxerre 3-0.In last 5 home games Valenciennes won 4 and draw 1.At 9 home games Valenciennes won 7 and draw 2 games.In other side St. Etienne in last game lost home from PSG 0-1.In last 5 games St. Etienne won 2 draw 1 and lost 2 games.In last away game they lost from Lille 3-0.In last 5 away games St. Etienne won 1 draw 1 and lost 3 games.At 10 away games St. Etienne won 1 draw 2 and lost 7 games.Tradition show same winer will be who will play home last year both teams won home.This year in first game St. Etienne won at home 3-1. Now i think is time for Valenciennes to win .I am going for home win in this game and for those who dont like to risk more they can coer with (0) AH.But i think it will be home win. | | AEK Athens - Veria PAE | Veria not to score | 1.60 | AEK lost last game with Asteras away 2-1, and that was 2-nd lost in last 5 games where they made 3 wins and 2 lost games.At home AEK have good results they ae 5 wins and 1 lost game.In 3 last home games they have win 2-0 oer PAOK, 4-0 over Kalamaria and 4-0 over OFI Crete.In other side Veria in last game win ove Levadia 3-1 home.In last 5 games they have 2 wins 1 draw and 2 lost games.In awaygames Veria have 2 draws and 4 lost games with goaldiference 2:7.They lost all their last 3 games away.I wil make 2 picks for this game.First one wis AEK to win -1.5 AH in 4 from 6 games at home AEK won by 2 goals and another pick is AEK to win by nil or Veria not to score.AEK won 5 from 6 games by nil and Veria didnt score in 4 of 6 away games. | | Roda - Tilburg Willem | 1 | 1.30 | Roda is improve their game and this is reson of teir results they have best results in last 10 games.In last game they won Excelsior away 1-2.In last 5 games they have 3 wins 1 draw and 1 lost game.In last game at home Roda won Heerenveen 1-0.At 5 home games Roda won 4 and lost 1.In oter side Willem is worst team in away games they have still not score in away games dre 1 and lost 7 of 8 away games.they draw only in first game with Heereneen 0-0 then they made row of 7 lost gams.In first game this season Willem won Roda at home 1-0 and now is time for Roda to payback and i think they can do this they are grate favorite and they can win this game. | | Barcelona - Real Murcia | AH 1 | 1.46 | Barcelona in last game won Mallorca away 0-2 but in last game at home they lost from Real Madrid 0-1.In last 5 games Barcellona hae 3 wins 1 draw and 1 lost game.This year Barcellona won 8 from 9 home games and lost 1.In those 8 games 6 times Barcellona win by more then 2 goals.In other side Murcia in last game won Osasuna home 2-0.In last 5 games Murcia won 2 draw 2 and lost 1 game.In 9 away games Murcia won 1 draw 4 and lost 4 games.In last 5 away games Murcia draw 3 and lost 2 games.Last year Barcellona won murcia in both games at home they won 3-0 and away 0-2.Barcellona is gate favorit to win.Diference with 1-st place Real Madrid is 7 points and they canot do mistake now, but i think that Barcellona will win by more then 2 goals so -1.5 AH is grate for this game. | | Rio Ave - Gondomar | 1 | 1.55 | Rio Ave lost bot 2 last games.In last game they lost from Feirense home 0-1.In last 5 games Rio Ave won 2 draw 1 and lost 2 games.IN last 5 home games Rio Ave have 2 wins 2 draws and 1 lost game they have no win in last 3 home games.In oter side Gondomar won last game with Varzim away 2-3.In last 5 games Gondomar hae 3 wins and 2 lost games.In 5 last away games Gondomar won 2 draw 1 and lost 2 games.In first game Rio Ave won Gondomar home 2-3.Gondomar are improving their game and they have good results but i think time is Rio Ave to win at home they are 3 games without win they have grate team but they need to win this game.I see them Favorite in this game and i think they can win this game. | | Levante - Real Madrid | 2
AH 2 | 1.35
1.90 | Levante is without win in last 5 games they have 1 draw and 4 lost games.They keep result in last game with Valencia out of their form and draw 0-0, after 4 lost games in row.At home this year Levante won 2 draw 1 and lost 6 games.In other side Real Madrid are in row with 5 wins in last 5 games.In last game they won Zaragoza 2-0 home.Levante is realy week team this year and i dont think that they will do something in this game Real Madrid will try to make big diference in points with Barcelona and i think that Real Madrid have big chance to win this game with poor Levante.Real Madrid will win this game but for those who like more to risk -1.5 AH have grate odds. |
Picks by hunt3r: | Man Utd vs Newcastle | over 2,5 | 1.65 | MANCHESTER UNITED
Position in the table: 2nd
Record Home and Away: 15-3-3
Record Home: 10-1-0
Man Utd simply look too strong to beat at the moment when playing Old Trafford despite fans criticizing the “police state” atmosphere which the ground wardens create, taking away your season tickets and carrying you out of the stadium if you stand up when you’re not supposed to. This might have given one to think about keeping away from this match but the woeful Newcastle record at Old Trafford and their current miserable form would hint towards another three pointer for the second-placed Red Devils.
Probable Line-up: Kuszack – Brown – Ferdinand – Vidic – Evra – Ronaldo – Hargreaves – Carrick – Giggs – Rooney – Tevez Last 5 Home…
vs Birmingham 1-0 W
vs Everton 2-1 W
vs Derby 4-1 W
vs Fulham 2-0 W
vs Sporting Lisbon 2-1 W NEWCASTLE UNITED
Position in the table: 11th
Record Home and Away: 7-5-9
Record Away: 2-2-6
Probable Line-up: Given – Geremi – Beye – Cacapa – S. Taylor – Emre – Faye – A. Smith – Duff – Owen – Martins Last 5 Away…
Stoke vs 0-0 D
Chelsea vs 2-1 L
Wigan vs 1-0 L
Fulham vs 0-1 W
Blackburn vs 3-1 L
Past encounters of this fixture…
MaU – New 5-1
MaU – New 2-0
MaU – New 3-1
MaU – New 5-3
MaU – New 0-0
MaU – New 2-1
MaU – New 2-0
MaU – New 2-0
This is pure statistics Manchester United won 7 of the last 8 games at home against Newcastle and least 2 goals and whit Rooney..Ronaldo and Tevez we should see a fiesta of goals so whitout further adds and to be on the safe side..because i really think that newcastle will score one goal here.. take OVER 2.5 | | Chelsea vs Tottenham | X | 3.40 | Chelsea vs Tottenham head to head stats:
2006/2007 ENG 1 Chelsea - Tottenham 1:0
2006/2007 FA CUP Chelsea - Tottenham 3:3
2005/2006 ENG 1 Chelsea - Tottenham 2:1
2004/2005 ENG 1 Chelsea - Tottenham 0:0
2003/2004 ENG 1 Chelsea - Tottenham 4:2
2002/2003 ENG 1 Chelsea - Tottenham 1:1
2001/2002 ENG 1 Chelsea - Tottenham 4:0
2000/2001 ENG 1 Chelsea - Tottenham 3:0
Last 5 Chelsea matches:
08.01.2008 ENG LC Chelsea-Everton 2:1
05.01.2008 FA CUP Chelsea-QPR 1:0
01.01.2008 ENG 1 Fulham-Chelsea 1:2
29.12.2007 ENG 1 Chelsea-Newcastle 2:1
26.12.2007 ENG 1 Chelsea-Aston Villa 4:4
Last 5 Tottenham matches:
09.01.2008 ENG LC Arsenal - Tottenham 1:1
05.01.2008 FA CUP Tottenham - Reading 2:2
01.01.2008 ENG 1 Aston Villa - Tottenham 2:1
29.12.2007 ENG 1 Tottenham - Reading 6:4
26.12.2007 ENG 1 Tottenham - Fulham 5:1
Everybody afraid of this game ??why? let me make a brief about this game and what we might try whit high odds Chelsea tactics or luck is last minute wining. Totenham have a fantastic player Berbatov and i think will score here against Chelsea The spurs wasted the greatest amount of money for the transfers and the result is not convincing but that could be a big advantage ...totenham will have nothing to loose in this game so lets try X | | Aek Athens vs Veria | 1 AH | 1.58 | Not much to say here.. Aek last round should made at least a draw but hey lost 2-1 at Asteras Tripolis Now they are 1 point behind Olympiakos Piraeus so they cant make another wrong step To convince you lets see some statistic WWWLW Last 5 Games Athens AEK Home games LLLLD Last 5 Games Veria PAE Away games Aek will win this one and to secure this winwill be more than one goal so .. 1 AH | | Rizespor vs Galatasaray | Rizespor to score | | We go in Turkey where galatasaray has a tought match whit Rizespor If you look at the tables you can say that Galta will win easy but things is not that simple because Rizespor makes good matches at home and galata are not so good away WDWLW Last 5 Games Caykur Rizespor Home games DLWDW Last 5 Games Galatasaray Away games The best bet here that i propose for this game..We should see many goals and a open match and i expect at least one goal from Rizespor so .. RIZESPOR TO SCORE | | Levante vs Real Madrid | 2 | 1.35 | one thing is in Real players , that Barcelona are close to them ( 0-2 whit Mallorca last round) Well Levante resist last round to Valencia..i wonder how...but made a important 0-0 But i think this round will get nothing from in form Real Madrid,even they play in the copa del ray the coach used second players so in this one i see only one result 2 | | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia | Valencia will score | | Atletico made a wonderfull game last round at Deportivo 0-3, on the other side Valencia seems that is not recovering, i studied this match and i will propose some easy bet. Even Valencia has good players like D. Villa and Morientes ..still are having big problems to score in the first place but i finally think that Valencia will try harder to score so i propose VALENCIA WILL SCORE | | Parma vs Fiorentina | 2 | 2.45 | Fiorentina will travel to Parma in need of points but Fiorentina have always struggled against Parma and in away games. Parma are holding a mid-table position and they have had a decent season so far, remaining in Seria A Fiorentina have bigger plans for their season. Cesare Prandelli Fiorentina coach is still convinced the his team can qualify for Champions League but it will be a tough job for them, and for that will have to win this one, they are now fifth with 28 points, just one behind fourth-placed Udinese i just find out that Parma boss Di Carlo may confirm his favourite 4-4-2 formation this week and that the Coach will be missing several players. Giuseppe Cardone and Daniele Paponi have left the team to join Cesena, while creative midfielder Domenico Morfeo and Igor Budan are injured On the other side at Fiorentina the Coach will opt for a 4-3-3, but he’s not sure yet whether Sebastian Frey will be able to play due to injury so maybe Cristiano Lupatelli will replace him. lets see some statistics and the final thoughts Form guide: Parma (L W L W L) Fiorentina (D L L D W) Parma (probable): Bucci; Coly, Paci, Falcone, Zenoni; Reginaldo, Morrone, Cigarini, Pisanu; Corradi, Gasbarroni Fiorentina (probable): Lupatelli; Ujfalusi, Dainelli, Gamberini, Pasqual; Kuzmanovic, Liverani, Montolivo; Santana, Vieri, Mutu Last season: Parma 2-0 Fiorentina ( Thats why i said that Fiorentina always struggled in front of Parma ) I think today will be different for those that have some doubts try x2 for me the tip for this game is valuable and i propose 2 |
Picks by Niksan: | Middlesbrough v Liverpool | 2 | 1.70 | After 3 draws in a row i think its hightime now Liverpool started winning again. Their unstable performance will start improving now and they should not have problems against the team of Middlesbrough which plays awful football on their own stadium. I expect an easy win here - probable score 0-2 | | Everton v Manchester City | X | 3.15 | Two teams of the top of the table are now meeting in what i expect it to be the biggest match of the 22nd round of Premiership. The hosts show very impressive football on their own stadium and will go out for this match with full squad. Manchester City on the other hand are very unstable away from home and have only 2 wins out of 10 games. They also have 4 draws and i think this will be the 5th one. | | Atletico Madrid - Valencia | 1 | 1.95 | Valencia are now terrible - no matter at home or away from home. There is just some problem that stays within the team and influences the performance of the team. I cant even imagine this team at this stage to get something out of this match against the flying high team from Madrid. Atletico are performing really well at the moment and will go with squad for this important match which i expect to end with a comfortable win for them. I think it will be something like 3-0. | | Luton Town v Swansea | 2 | 2.25 | "Financially-stricken Luton Town, who are in administration, have sold two of their star players and let three others leave the club, reports BBC 3CR." This is a quote from the main site of the team. After such accidents i think even the well going team of Luton that has 8-2-1 at home will be demorilised and will have problems this weekend. Swansea on the other hand must get back on the track after the draw in the last round so will go with high moral to the game. Especially know, knowing what is going on within the team of Luton. | | Chelsea v Tottenham | 1 | 1.60 | Spurs have been playing 2 games every week with pretty much the same lineup and obvious signs of fatigue started to show during the 2nd half against Arsenal's reserves ... with a FA Cup replay against Reading next Tuesday and more important games to follow (2nd leg against Arsenal the week after), i don't think they'll be 100% going into Stanford Bridge. According to the team news Zokora (Africa), Huddlestone (suspended) and Jenas (suspended too for the 5th yellow against Reading) are out. On the other hand Chelsea showed a lot of resilience against a good Everton team, winning despite being down a man for 40 minutes. Cech is back in full training. So i cant really see anything but home win here. | | Parma-Fiorentina | over 2,5 | 1.85 | After the bad streak Fiorentina finally managed to beat Cagliari and they are again hot candidates for the 4th place. Still, Parma is a team capable of beating everyone in Italy and this is a clear No Bet match if we’re talking about 1x2 option even though i think it will be a tough one ending in a draw. Budan and Morfeo are out for Parma while Frey is a big doubt for Fiorentina. Maybe a goal bet would be the best option here. Parma score and concede a lot in front of their home fans while after the bad run and Mutu’s comeback Fiorentina finally found the back of the net, scoring 7 goals in last 2 matches. With players like Reginaldo and Corradi and with Fiorentina starting with a trident up front (Mutu, Vieri, Santana) there could be a lot of goals. |
Picks by Rui Tavares da Silva: | This is my first contribution. Hope you make a profit out of these. Note that if I get the first 2 right, I’ll make a profit for sure (with these odds of course).I'll use a 10 point system. | | Milan vs Napoli | 10 pts Milan | 1.40 | Milan has yet to win at home this season, and this is not sustainable. I’m very confident that the Christmas break was good for Milan, because they had time to rest physically and, more important, emotionally. | | PSG vs Lens | 5 pts PSG | 2.20 | PSG also has yet to win at home this season, and also, this is not sustainable. PSG seems to be recovering from a bad beginning. Valuable bet for me. | | Utrecht vs Heerenveen | 4 pts DRAW | 3.30 | Similar teams and both will be happy with a draw. It just seems the natural result of this match. | | Feyenoord vs PSV | 3 pts PSV | 2.93 | PSV ended the year in good shape. Feyenoord seems to be a little on the downward curve. I think that, at these odds, we should back the leader of the league. | | Atalanta vs Roma | 2 pts Atalanta | 4.60 | Atalanta is a very good team at home, with only one defeat. I think that these odds are too high, so I propose a small speculative bet on this. |
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