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#81 |
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Member
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 47
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There ara my tips for today
Bodo-Lyn 3+ Malmo-Kalmar 3+ Flamengo-Botafogo 1 good luck |
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#82 |
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Malta
Posts: 1,709
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Not surprizing i have had more messages re the Gap, I will post it again at the begining of this thread, with an improvment.
A couple went west yesterday, but still a good day, to end a good weekend. The results will continue today. Finland. Lahti, 16-12+2+11=17. KTP, 7-29-14-7=-43, Gap 60, Home win. Ireland. Longford, 20-24+4-12=-12. Dundalk, 35-13+10+10=42, Gap 54, Away win. Sweden. AIK, 18-15+5+13=21. Ljungskil, 13-26-10-9=-32, Gap 53, Home win. Gais, 16-14+9+25=36. Sunsvall, 15-22-7+8=-6, Gap 42, Home win. Orebro, 8-20-6-1=-19. Hammarby, 23-16+1+13=21. Gap 40, Away win. Attvidbergs, 17-15+1+4=7. Sirus, 16-28-7-15=-34, Gap 42, Home win. I expect a clean sweep, but will be happy with 4 wins. |
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#83 |
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Malta
Posts: 1,709
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Basic Gap.
Go to SV main page or anywhere you can find up to date stats, select League i.e. English League 2. It does not matter, the Gap works everywhere. Write down all the games for today, like so, Grimsby Wycombe. Rochdale Barnet. And so on. Go to Tables; take the season’s goals scored and goals conceded, from all teams. Grimsby is 53 – 57, Wycombe is 52 – 40. Grimsby 53, - 57. Wycombe 52, - 40. Go to Home table, and then to away table, take the goal difference from each team. Grimsby is 25 scored 29 conceded = - 4. Wycombe is 26 scored 26 conceded = 0. Now go to results look at Grimsby’s last 2 home games, allow 2 points for each draw. 5 points per win. Give 3 points for every goal scored. Deduct 3 points for every goal conceded; you will see Grimsby as – 6, Wycombe as +10. Now do the math, Grimsby 53 – 57 – 4 – 6 = -14, Wycombe = 22. Grimsby 53-57-4-6=-14 Wycombe 52-40-0+10=+22. Gap 36, Away win. I decided to post the Gap instruction here because i know i have your attention, the adjusment i have made is critical, Gap 3 as far as i am conserned is dropped. The above game, Wycombe won, but today i would drop the game or reduce it to a maybe, the reason, Grimsby have scored more goals, one in fact. Look at todays post, where i have given 6, you see the selected teams have scored more and conceded less in all areas. If i were to continue and bet on Wycombe, i would deem myself bias and being bias is our worst enemy. I will post Gap 2 shortly, just take on board what i have said. |
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#84 |
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Malta
Posts: 1,709
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Part 2.
Ok, you have gone for Div 2 in England, You have rated every game, and now have 20 sets of match figures in front of you, but you are not going to cover them all, Sit back and take stock, Get a coffee. Look at the figures, if you see a home side scoring well but conceding few, and the away side in the opposite, underline that game, you may see a team that have more points taken in their last 2 matches that seem out of character, underline that game, look for 4 or 5 outstanding teams, if you do not find them, then you need to focus on another division. The first team you fancy is Wycombe, with a base team rating of +22. Go to your Task bar, type Wycombe FC, enter, Click on the official web site, Enter site, You are now looking for key players that are not playing for one reason or other, Check out, Latest news, Injuries, Suspensions, Managers comments, Game preview, Team news, you may find a comment, as follows, a big blow for us is that J Bloggs and I Smith both have broken legs. Now go to Team homepage and find what positions these 2 play in, you need to post this information when you do a comment, as it shows you have done your home work, Bloggs is a striker, Smith a midfielder, Next go to the match drop down and click on Team Stats, you will see a list of goal scorers, look for our two players and note how many goals they have scored, say 10 for Bloggs, 5 for Smith, at the top of the page is another set of drop downs, click on 2008, then move right and click the other drop down, click then, on Assists, Note the Assists by our two players and Double them, i.e. Bloggs 5 Assists = 10, Smith 3 = 6. Add all the figures together, you should, have 31, this figure must be deducted from Wycombs Team form rating of +22, which now reads – 9. Go through the whole thing again with Grimsby, this time you find you have ten players out, with a figure of 55 points to be deducted, Grimsby’s Team rating is – 14, deduct 55 = -69. Final Summery, Grimsby, 53. – 57. – 4. -6. = -14 – 55. = -69. Wycombe, 52. - 40. 0. +10. = +22 – 31. = -9. Gap 60, Away win. |
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#86 |
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Malta
Posts: 1,709
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MLS 03.00 hrs Tomorrow.
Salt Lake, 20-19+10+13=24. Toronto, 19-20-9-6=-16, Gap 40, Home win. Salt Lake at home are doing well this season with only 2 losses thru out and securing all the points in the last 2 homes even the away form is picking up. Toronto do not travel well and were held 0-0 at home when todays host visited. All points indicate a home win, with current form impressive. With the Swedish games looking bad i will probably have a go at this one, depending on the odd's. Ok Ledi. |
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#88 |
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Malta
Posts: 1,709
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As i have mentioned prior the swedish are inconsistant, as we saw yesterday, i almost fell asleep watching Gais, Tho 4 wins was exeptable, a late bonus from a Ledi pointer saw a late winner for Salt Lake 87 min, 5 out of 7 is even better.
Not much from me today, the 3 League teams i have selected have all dropped points to their opponents but have since shown a vast improvement in form, wheras the opponents have degraded. Sweden. Falkenberg,23-17+6+22=34. enkoping, 19-34-7-12=-34, Gap 74, Home win. Mjalby, 25-15+5+8=23. Bromm, 17-19-5-13=-20, Gap 43, Home win. Ireland. Monaghan, 9-33-1-4=-29. Shelbourne, 30-12+6+10=34, Gap 63, Away win. Friendly. Lyon v Monaco, Home win. For sure Lyon are going to test players, who will try to please the early supporters, Monaco had little in reserve when Marsielle visited last week, they did nick a goal but marselle were in complete control, same again today i think. As far as Chelsea go this afternoon, their is no value in the straight win, i am going to use my imagination. |
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#90 |
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Malta
Posts: 1,709
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This is where we have to work together, I am ok in Enlish football, french games you need Shakeel, Croatia for croatian games, Behemoth- Romania and so on.
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