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England-Scotland-Ireland-Wales Analysis and predictions, from Eng Prem to Conference. From Scottish Premier to 3.div. FA Cup etc.

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Old 07-12-2008, 03:50 PM   #21
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A good day yesterday? I did.

Gap 1.
Post all 5 figures,ie. Shanhua, 16-8+8+10=26, D Shide, 6-13-8-4=-21.
All the home side figures exceed the away side, Shanhua currently 2-0.
If i work Gap 3 and find D Shide take the advantage i will drop the game or think about a draw. If Shanhau have the Gap 3 advantage i will/have increase stakes.

Ireland.
Cobh, 8-28-7-18=-45. St Pats, 28-12+9+12=35, Gap 80, Away win.

Finland.
Tampines, 14-16+0+5=3. Honka, 14-6-2+10=16. Gap 13. No bet, or draw.

Belarus.
Smorgen, 12-18-2-12=-20. Torpedo Z, 15-13+0+5=7, Gap 27, Away win.

Norway.
Moss, 19-14+5+13=23. Grenland, 38-17+11+25=57. Gap 34. No bet, or X2.
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Old 07-13-2008, 12:21 PM   #22
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Singapore, Gombak v Albirex, Gap 13, Home win. 13.45 hrs.

Three and a half months ago (28 Mar) the Swans of Albirex Niigata (S) and the Bulls of Gombak United met at the Jalan Besar Stadium. That encounter ended in a 2-2 stalemate.
The return encounter (13 Jul) pits the two sides at the Bulls pen this time around, the majestic Jurong West Stadium welcoming their district rivals from the nearby Jurong East Stadium.
With Gombak lying seventh on the table standings and Albirex being two spots below, these teams are, by their own standards, under-achieving… and the time has come to play catch-up as the S.League season reaches its mid-stage of the competition.
Hosts Gombak have already clinched silverware this season (Avaya-J&J League Cup) and with the respite from ‘other’ competitions over, the Bulls will want to do better than their current position, especially since they ended a creditable fourth last season.
While the Swans are not faring any better in ninth place, the Bulls will still feel confident of full-points against the visiting Japanese outfit.
Bulls Team Manager Jeffrey Lee expressed his confidence on the outcome of the match-up:-
“We are at full-strength. I am very confident of the win as the team (Gombak) are in fine shape at this point of time. Nothing less than a win this Sunday” said a confident Lee.
Gombak will look to 8-goal poacher Ojimi Gabriel Obatola to add to his goals while hoping fellow forward Kingsly Njoku can improve on his relatively poor 3-goals to date.
Albirex meanwhile will be buoyed by their not-too-long ago victory over the Super Reds (21 Jun, 3-2) and will hope to take confidence from their ability to take the points when playing stronger opposition, the likes of the (Super) Reds and, yes, … Gombak United.
Aside from some minor injury concerns that will likely come to pass by the time the kick-off begins, Coach Hiroaki Hiraoka should also have a full squad to choose from come Sunday.
The young Japanese side will be counting on strike pair Akira Takase (7 goals) and man-mountain, Ryota Doi (6 goals), to push-up their goals tally.

Though Gombak have the Gap advantage, they did not qualify in terms of my bet, but after reading the above post you will gain confidence as i have. Compliments to the Singapore writer.

No more commentaries today, but i will post some Gap games later.
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Old 07-13-2008, 02:28 PM   #23
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Finland.
HJK, 21-8+10+10=33. Haka, 14-14-4-4=-8, Gap 41, home win.
Oulu, 18-5+6+10=29. Kemi, 14-11+0+7=10, Gap 19, home win.

Norway.
Fredrikstad, 19-13+7-1=12. Lillestrom, 12-20-9-6=-23, Gap 35, home win.
Stabeak, 21-10+5+2=18, Viking, 16-17-3-4=-8, Gap 26, home win.
Honfoss, 16-12+3+4=11, Koms, 12-22-6-4=-20, Gap 31, home win.
Sognol, 18-19+2+19=20, Hodd, 15-22-6-10=-23, Gap 43, home win.
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Old 07-14-2008, 09:52 AM   #24
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I think i will compile my own commentaries, Gombak 0-0. HJK was a shock and Stabaek on TV were crap, but a nice little yankee, paid.

Singapore 13.45.

SAF and Tampines play away and will return home with points, the odds are poor as their is always a chance of a draw. Both these teams are on top of their game and have full squads. The home sides, Woodlands Wellington and Dilian Shide have 3 key players each carrying injuries. I am playing the aways with a yankee or something, but will follow the games on live betting and will bet with vigore if i sense a draw.

Iceland.

Briedablick v HK, Everythings in favor for the home win.

Finland.

Inter v Mypa, This one i think will be tight, Inter have the edge, i give a one goal home advantage. again in play betting may figure.

Sweden.

Unreliable, but Sunvale show value and are worth a gamble against the poor home side Orebro.

On TV, Malmo v Hammarby screams a draw.
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Old 07-14-2008, 06:39 PM   #25
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Hello, I am new here and I saw your gap system English.
I wanted to know if I am correct handling this.

Breidablik V Kopavogus: Gap is 56 in favour of Breidablik.

Is this correct?

Grtz
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Old 07-14-2008, 08:02 PM   #26
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Brune, welcome to SV. I assume you have been a regular reader so you should be aware of how the Gap works. If you are going to post for other readers benefit? you need to get your figures correct. I carried out my calculation last night, using SV stats, GAP 1 AND 3.

Briedblik, 16-13+0+16+42=61. HK, 11-23-4-1+5=-12. Gap 73, home win.
Without Gap 3 = 36 home win. I am not wrong.
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Old 07-15-2008, 01:59 AM   #27
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Yes English I want to post matches because i am interested in Belgium league and want to use it on that league and contribute to this forum.

I think I am wrong then, I don't know what gap I use.
I have an excel spreadsheet.
I use the site WSN: Football | League Tables | WSN.com

And then I use

HTGD,ATGD,HTHGD,ATAGD,HTL2H,ATL2A,HTL2HGD,ATL2AGD

Meaning:

Home team goal difference, Away Team goal difference, Home team Home goal difference and so on....

Then I do:

(((HTGD+ATGD)+(HTL2H+(HTL2HGD*3)))-((ATGD+ATAGD)+(ATL2A+(ATL2AGD*3)))) = Gap

For instance:

Breidablik V Kopavogus

(((2+-15)+(7+(1*3)))-((-15+-11)+(0+(-6*3)))) = 56

Don't know what I do wrong
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Old 07-15-2008, 01:51 PM   #28
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Brune, I am here to help, and am pleased you will cover Belgium, remember the Gap will only start to work after several games in the new season. I am running through a game for you, with Gaps 1 and 2.

Bray wanderers v Bohemians. Ireland.

Make a list of all the games, today just one. Check Wsn or whoever that their information is up to date, today i am using SV.
Go to Tables, from the full table take goals scored and goals conceded for both teams, Bray, 12-23. Bohemians, 20-7. Go to the home table, deduct goals conceded from goals scored, Bray, 12-23-3, now the away table, Bohems 20-7+6, Now to results, take the last 2 home games for Bray, give 3 points per goal scored, deduct 3 for conceded, give 5 points per win and 2 point per draw, then do the same for Bohemians aways, Bray, 12-23-3-1=-15. Bohems, 20-7+6+16=35. Basic Gap 50 away win.
Go now to Gap 2.
Visit team web sites or whatever and find the key players, deduct points as follows for missing key's. No1 Goalie 10 points, Skipper 5 points, Talisman( usually top scorer) 15 points, every goal scored for the season 1 point, every goal assist 2 points.
Bray have no missing players, so their rating, 12-23-3-1-0=-15.
Bohemians have 6 key players missing = -55, so, 20-7+6+16-55=-20. Gap 5 home win.

Commentary.
Bray have had a rough time of late but are set to regain some earlier form as they have strengthened midfield and back line the new players will feature today. Bohemians have 3 games in hand due to the Intertoto of which they had a blow to moral when being dumped out by Riga, worse news is the amount of key players that are out for tonight. Central defender Oman, striker Byrne, midfielders Cronin, Rossiter, Kelly, and top scorer and Talisman Brennan. A 55 point deduction is an estimate as team info is poor, but my guess in British football is on par with Spock. Home win, Take 1X if it suits.
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Old 07-15-2008, 04:26 PM   #29
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Ok thank you for the Explanation English!
I recalculated it with my excel spreadsheet and the gap is -51 for me so its quite close to your calculation. The 3 points for each goal scored and conceded is implemented in the formula. I did it like this: (Home team last 2 home games( with the 2 points per draw and 5 points per win)+(Home team last 2 home Goal Difference * 3) And the same for the away team. So there is a little deflection but not much.

The gap really works good and is great to predict matches, thank you for this.

I still have one question for GAP2: To which website do you go to find team information
(but not the regular site ex: *Bray Wanderers). Is there some 3rd party site that shows players that are injured or suspended? I can't find any information no the Bohemians site ewcept 2 players that have been suspended, a midfielder and some other guy..

Greetings and thanks for your help.

Last edited by Brune; 07-15-2008 at 04:39 PM.
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Old 07-15-2008, 07:27 PM   #30
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Brune, I will give you the best Irish site on the internet, Perhaps you should consider searching for similar quality sites re Belgium leagues, while you have time.

eleven-a-side.com

From the home page, scroll down to, Bohs return to league action. Enjoy.
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