special_k
09-21-2007, 05:38 PM
Usually I do the analysys of the Russian - League and French league 1, but this week-end the games are too difficult, especially when in Russia they had 2 week break, thus i made a combo from other leagues. This combo has its core, plus some other games you can bet on to get higher odds.
Core
Arsenal - Derby
In the game against Sevilla, Arsenal showed all its potential and strength. Now they will face Derby, which gained its first win against Newcastle last week, but only because Newcastle showed an awful performance last Monday. I think that Derby won't make better, than Sevilla.
My pick is Home win with (-1.5,-2 AH) - odds 1.8
Liverpool - Birmingham
With ten players Liverpool could held a draw in Porto, even they had more chances to win, than Porto. They will miss Xabi Alonso and Agger in this game, but still IMO it won't influence a lot their game. Torres and Kuyt are in great form.
My pick is Liverpool to win (-1.5 AH) odds - 2.07
Milan - Parma
With Pirlo and Kaka, Milan is a completely different team as they showed it against Benfica. Parma has its usual bad start of the season. At home Milan should win.
My pick Milan 1h/Ft at 1.66
MU - Chelsea
Chelsea lost Mourinho, which is even harder than the loss of lampard and Drogba. Mu seems to have found their game (win against Everton + Sporting). I don't think that Chelsea can make better, than they did last year, when they could take 1 point at Old Trafford.
My pick is Mu not to lose at 1.4, home win is 2.1 - very nice odds IMO
CSKA Moscow - Amkar
Even with a defeat in Eindhoven, CSKA is still a favourite in this game. Amkar plays very well this season, but only at home. As Spartak and Zenit both have very tough games this week-end, CSKA need to win in order to maintain the hope to get in CL next year. Krasic and Dudu finally got their usual level of form, D. Carvalho will probably play as well.
My pick CSKA to win (-1.5 AH) at 2.51
Other games
Schalke - Arminia Bielefeld
Schalke hasn't shown their last year play so far. They lost to Valencia in CL, but if you look at their line-up, they have very good players and they can win this game.
Home win at 1.44
Lyon - Lille
Lyon lost to Barcelona in CL, but Barsa was simply amazing that day. In French league Lyon found its play. It can be witnessed by their last game 5-1 in Metz. Lille sold all their leaders this year: odemwingie, Keita and Bodmer (2 last in Lyon) and now they are struggling in the middle of the table.
lyon to win at 1.53
Caen - Metz
Both teams are candidates for relegation this year. caen seems to be a little bit better, Metz haas real problems to score goals. Caen needs to take points from its direct rival to stay in League 1. No majot injuries for Caen.
Caen not to lose at 1.4
Last 2 games are based on stats only.
Villareal - murcia 1 at 1.6
sporting - setubal 1 at 1.2
for core games the combo odds are 18.5 bet 4 won 70, for the total combo the odds are 155...why not?
I add a poll, please vote. I 'd like to see your comments for this combo.
Best regards, Special K
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Core
Arsenal - Derby
In the game against Sevilla, Arsenal showed all its potential and strength. Now they will face Derby, which gained its first win against Newcastle last week, but only because Newcastle showed an awful performance last Monday. I think that Derby won't make better, than Sevilla.
My pick is Home win with (-1.5,-2 AH) - odds 1.8
Liverpool - Birmingham
With ten players Liverpool could held a draw in Porto, even they had more chances to win, than Porto. They will miss Xabi Alonso and Agger in this game, but still IMO it won't influence a lot their game. Torres and Kuyt are in great form.
My pick is Liverpool to win (-1.5 AH) odds - 2.07
Milan - Parma
With Pirlo and Kaka, Milan is a completely different team as they showed it against Benfica. Parma has its usual bad start of the season. At home Milan should win.
My pick Milan 1h/Ft at 1.66
MU - Chelsea
Chelsea lost Mourinho, which is even harder than the loss of lampard and Drogba. Mu seems to have found their game (win against Everton + Sporting). I don't think that Chelsea can make better, than they did last year, when they could take 1 point at Old Trafford.
My pick is Mu not to lose at 1.4, home win is 2.1 - very nice odds IMO
CSKA Moscow - Amkar
Even with a defeat in Eindhoven, CSKA is still a favourite in this game. Amkar plays very well this season, but only at home. As Spartak and Zenit both have very tough games this week-end, CSKA need to win in order to maintain the hope to get in CL next year. Krasic and Dudu finally got their usual level of form, D. Carvalho will probably play as well.
My pick CSKA to win (-1.5 AH) at 2.51
Other games
Schalke - Arminia Bielefeld
Schalke hasn't shown their last year play so far. They lost to Valencia in CL, but if you look at their line-up, they have very good players and they can win this game.
Home win at 1.44
Lyon - Lille
Lyon lost to Barcelona in CL, but Barsa was simply amazing that day. In French league Lyon found its play. It can be witnessed by their last game 5-1 in Metz. Lille sold all their leaders this year: odemwingie, Keita and Bodmer (2 last in Lyon) and now they are struggling in the middle of the table.
lyon to win at 1.53
Caen - Metz
Both teams are candidates for relegation this year. caen seems to be a little bit better, Metz haas real problems to score goals. Caen needs to take points from its direct rival to stay in League 1. No majot injuries for Caen.
Caen not to lose at 1.4
Last 2 games are based on stats only.
Villareal - murcia 1 at 1.6
sporting - setubal 1 at 1.2
for core games the combo odds are 18.5 bet 4 won 70, for the total combo the odds are 155...why not?
I add a poll, please vote. I 'd like to see your comments for this combo.
Best regards, Special K
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